The Miami Marlins are set to take on the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise this NL showdown and the game is scheduled to get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Milwaukee (-160) as the favorite over Miami (+150). The total sits at 9.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 or the under for +100. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -145 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and +125 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 11-9 SU and 10-9 ATS. The team has gained 1.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.1 units against the spread (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Marlins are 5-13 SU and have gone 6-11 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 2.7 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the season and 6.2 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 8-11 so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 10-7.
Trevor Richards will get the nod for the visiting Marlins. Richards is 0-1 with a 4.70 ERA and nine strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Brewers are sending righty Jhoulys Chacin (0-1, 5.60 ERA) to the mound. Chacin has 11 punchouts and 10 walks to his name, as well as a 1.92 WHIP. Chacin did not record a start against the Marlins in 2017.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have yielded 4.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.12 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.00, a WHIP of 1.17 and a K/9 of 10.4.
Milwaukee’s offense has produced 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .247/.341/.383 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by Eric Thames and Lorenzo Cain. Thames is slashing .245/.333/.679 with seven home runs, 11 RBIs and 10 runs scored, and Cain’s line sits at .303/.390/.485 with 20 hits, seven RBIs and 10 runs.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.36 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.42 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.70, along with a K-per-9 of 9.79.
Marlins hitters have slashed .225/.300/.312 on their way to 3.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Shortstop Miguel Rojas and first baseman Justin Bour have led Miami’s hitters. Rojas is slashing .282/.338/.408 with 20 hits, four RBIs and seven runs scored, while Bour (.234/.310/.438) has produced 15 hits, four homers, 11 RBIs and six runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .290/.361/.375, Rojas didn’t do especially well against righty pitching on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .250/.328/.306 across 122 such plate appearances.
The Marlins have lost 1.6 units and are 5-8 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.
Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
Milwaukee has posted 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.4 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 14 over their last 10.
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