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San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Angels Free Pick 04/21/18

Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants will be squaring off against the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. Fox Sports West will be televising this interleague showdown and the action gets underway at 9:07 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Angels Odds

Vegas has listed San Francisco (+187) as the underdog to Los Angeles (-205). The total is sitting at 8 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -105 and the under for -115. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Giants +1.5 runs (-115) and Angels -1.5 runs (-105).

The Giants are 8-11 SU and have gone 11-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline through the early portions of the year, despite having gained 2.9 units ATS. The Angels, on the other hand, are 13-7 SU and 11-8 ATS. They’ve gained 6.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.2 units ATS.

Los Angeles games have had an over/under record of 12-7 thus far in 2018. The Giants have an over/under record of 8-10.

Derek Holland is getting the nod for the visiting Giants. The left-handed Holland is 0-2 with a 4.60 ERA and 16 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Angels this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 4.50 ERA and five strikeouts across six innings).

The Angels are sending righty Garrett Richards (2-0, 3.60 ERA) to the mound. Richards has 24 strikeouts and 15 walks to his name, as well as a 1.40 WHIP. Richards did not record a start against the Giants in 2017.

San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.28 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 7.25 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.51, along with a K/9 of 9.04.

The Giants offense has slashed .231/.291/.361 on its way to 3.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

First baseman Brandon Belt and second baseman Joe Panik have led San Francisco’s offense. Belt is slashing .255/.361/.471 with 13 hits, seven RBIs and five runs scored, while Panik (.273/.351/.439) is up to 18 hits, three homers, four RBIs and eight runs scored.

Maintaining a slash line of .294/.353/.524 across 207 plate appearances, Panik enjoyed hitting against righty pitching on the road last season (his overall season line was .288/.349/.421).

In the home-team dugout, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 5.17 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.21 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

Los Angeles’ hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 1.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .173/.251/.278 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Angels’ offense has been led by Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani. Trout is hitting .286/.398/.597 with seven home runs, 14 RBIs and 16 runs scored, and Ohtani’s line is .342/.390/.658 with three homers, 11 RBIs and five runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .306/.442/.629, Trout did not perform very well against left-handed pitching at home last season, slashing .150/.306/.350 over 49 such plate appearances.

The Giants have lost 2.1 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in one of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Angels have netted 0.3 units and are 2-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to two that’ve cashed the under.

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Angels MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in three of Los Angeles’ last seven games.

San Francisco has posted 18.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.2 over its last five.

The Giants have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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