The Toronto Blue Jays will play their divisional rival New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. YES Network will be televising the action and the game is scheduled to get underway at 1:05 p.m. ET.
Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Odds
Toronto (+135) is entering this game as the underdog to New York (-145) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -160 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and +140 for the Yankees -1.5 runs.
The Blue Jays have gone 13-6 SU this year and are 11-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 5.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early part of the season and 4.8 units ATS. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 9-9 SU and 8-9 ATS. The team has lost 4.0 units for moneyline bettors and 3.6 units ATS.
Yankees games have had an over/under record of 11-5-1 thus far in 2018. The Blue Jays have an over/under record of 7-9-2.
The right-handed Marcus Stroman is projected to start for the visiting Blue Jays. Stroman is 0-1 with a 7.98 ERA and 16 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA against New York this year (five starts).
The Yankees are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Jordan Montgomery (1-0, 4.70 ERA), who’s got 12 strikeouts and six walks, as well as a 1.50 WHIP. Montgomery has yet to face the Blue Jays this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, compiling a 1-0 record with a 0.79 ERA and eight strikeouts.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 4.93 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.34 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 13.4 K/9. In 15 games against divisional opponents, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.96 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.31.
The New York offense has put up 5.5 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .283/.377/.538 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Yankees’ hitters have been led by shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge. Gregorius is slashing .322/.442/.729 with five home runs, 17 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Judge’s line is .328/.464/.597 with five homers, 12 RBIs and 16 runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .284/.422/.627, Judge enjoyed batting against righties at home in 2017, hitting .318/.424/.771 across 257 plate appearances.
In the visiting dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.91 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.55 K/9. The bullpen has logged an outstanding ERA of just 2.15, along with a WHIP of 1.45 and a K-per-9 of 9.05.
Blue Jays hitters have slashed .244/.335/.431 on their way to 6.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 8.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Third baseman Yangervis Solarte and left fielder Curtis Granderson have led Toronto’s offense. Solarte is hitting .283/.413/.583 with five home runs, 10 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Granderson is slashing .319/.439/.532 with two homers, nine RBIs and 10 runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .255/.314/.416, Solarte didn’t do especially well against lefty pitching in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .211/.275/.289 across 142 plate appearances.
The Blue Jays have gained 2.6 units and are 5-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 3.8 units and are 4-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in six of those games, compared to four that’ve cashed the under.
Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in three of Toronto’s last seven games.
The Blue Jays have won five of their last six games SU.
Toronto has recorded 25.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 29.2 over its last five.
The Blue Jays have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 13 over their last 10.
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