The Milwaukee Bucks (1-2) square off against the Boston Celtics (2-1) at BMO Harris Bradley Center in game four of the First Round of the Eastern Conference Playoffs. The game is scheduled to begin at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 22, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 206.5 points with Milwaukee set as a 5-point favorite.
Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks Free Prediction
Middleton scored a game-high 23 points in game three, in which the Bucks defeated the Celtics 116-92, covering as 5-point favorites. He also had eight rebounds and seven assists. The game finished with a total of 208 points, which was just 3 points above the projected point total of 205 points. The Bucks’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Celtics. Milwaukee had a rate of 9.5, while Boston posted a mark of 14.8.
Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams battle. Milwaukee ranks 24th in possessions per game (98.0) and Boston is 22nd (98.1).
Boston heads into the contest with records of 57-28 straight up (SU) and 50-31-4 against the spread (ATS). Of the Celtics’ 85 games, 45 have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee is 45-40 SU and 36-44-5 ATS. Of the Bucks’ 85 games, 49 have finished over the total.
Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Boston is 28-14 ATS on the road with 21 unders, 20 overs and 1 push.
Milwaukee is 14-25-3 ATS at home with 23 overs, 18 unders and 1 push.
Milwaukee is 18-5 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Boston is 36-5.
The Celtics are 44-13 when they reach 100 points, while the Bucks are 39-22.
Milwaukee ranks seventh in points in the paint per game (47.5) while Boston ranks 29th (40.1).
The Celtics rank ninth in rebounds per game (44.4) while the Bucks rank last (39.8).
Boston ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.0) while Milwaukee ranks 23rd (13.3).
The Bucks rank sixth in fast break points per game (14.6) while the Celtics rank 26th (9.6).
Milwaukee ranks third in steals per game (8.7) while Boston ranks 22nd (7.4).
The Bucks rank third in points off turnovers per game (18.2) while the Celtics rank 22nd (15.3).
Milwaukee ranks fifth in blocks per game (5.5) while Boston ranks 19th (4.5).
The Celtics rank 11th in three pointers attempted per game (30.3) while the Bucks rank 25th (24.6).
Boston ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (21.3) while Milwaukee ranks 18th (23.5).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Boston is 3-2 ATS with 5 overs.
Milwaukee is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games.
The Celtics have been outscored by an average of 0.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Boston has defeated opponents by an average of 3.4 points.
During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 105.2 points per game (1.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.2 points per game (1.4 above their season average).
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