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Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview 04/23/18

Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

The struggling Cincinnati Reds are trying to avoid dropping their sixth in a row they play host to the Atlanta Braves at Great American Ball Park. The game gets underway 6:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio is in line to broadcast this NL matchup.

Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds Odds

Vegas has listed Atlanta (-130) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+120). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can wager on either the over or the under for -110. Runline odds sit at +115 for betting the Braves -1.5 runs and -135 for the Reds +1.5.

The Reds are just 3-18 SU and 8-12 ATS. The team has lost 13.5 units for moneyline bettors and 7.8 units against the spread (ATS). The Braves are 12-8 SU and have gone 14-6 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 7.5 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 8.5 units ATS.

Cincinnati games have had an over/under record of 7-13 so far in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 8-9-3.

The right-handed Mike Foltynewicz is the probable starter for Atlanta. Foltynewicz is 1-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts across seven innings).

The Reds will be sending righty Sal Romano (0-2, 5.75 ERA) to the mound. Romano has 11 strikeouts and 11 walks to his name, as well as a 1.57 WHIP. Romano only made one start against the Braves in 2017 (1-0, 1.29 ERA and three strikeouts across seven innings).

Cincinnati’s pitchers have yielded 5.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 5.71 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.30 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

The Cincinnati hitters are putting up 2.9 runs per contest, including 2.7 per game over its last 10 games and 1.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .174/.264/.206 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

The Reds’ offense has been led by Jesse Winker, who is hitting .283/.433/.321 with 15 hits, five RBIs and five runs scored. Winker performed well against righties last season. In 110 plate appearances, he slashed .344/.427/.615 (his overall season line was .298/.375/.529).

In the visiting dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.04 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.68 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.51, along with a WHIP of 1.29 and a K/9 of 9.12.

Braves hitters have slashed .266/.348/.427 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Atlanta’s hitters have been paced by Freddie Freeman, who is hitting .296/.446/.493 with 21 hits, 15 RBIs and 13 runs scored.

The Braves just got a 4-3 victory over the Mets, while the Reds are coming off of a 9-2 loss against the Cardinals.

Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The over has hit in only one of Cincinnati’s last seven games.

The Braves have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit four over their last 10.

Atlanta fielders have 12 errors over the last 10 games, compared to six errors for Cincinnati over its last 10.

The Braves have won three of their last four games SU while the Reds have lost 13 of their last 14 SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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