The Minnesota Twins will head east to Yankee Stadium to play the New York Yankees. This AL matchup is going to be televised nationally on ESPN and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Minnesota (+182) as the underdog to New York (-195). The total sits at nine runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Twins +1.5 runs (-120) and Yankees +-1.5 runs (+100).
The Yankees are 11-9 SU and 9-10 ATS. The team’s lost 4.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.4 units against the spread (ATS). New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Twins are 8-8 SU and have gone 11-4 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 1.6 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 6.3 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
New York games have a 13-5-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 6-9.
Jake Odorizzi is getting the nod for Minnesota. The right-handed Odorizzi is 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He has yet to face New York this year, but he did make two starts against the Yankees in 2017, compiling a 0-2 record against them with a 4.66 ERA and nine strikeouts.
The Yankees are going with righty Masahiro Tanaka (2-2, 6.45 ERA), who has 23 strikeouts and four walks to his credit, as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Tanaka did not record a start against the Twins in 2017.
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has yielded 5.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.07 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 13.2 K/9.
The New York offense is putting up 5.7 runs per outing, including 5.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .256/.346/.444 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Yankees’ offense has been led by shortstop Didi Gregorius and outfielder Aaron Judge. Gregorius is slashing .333/.442/.742 with six home runs, 20 RBIs and 17 runs scored, and Judge’s line sits at .324/.462/.608 with six homers, 15 RBIs and 18 runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .284/.422/.627, Judge enjoyed hitting against right-handed pitchers at home in 2017, producing .318/.424/.771 across 257 plate appearances.
In the visiting dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.57 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.07 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.70, along with a WHIP of 1.25.
Twins hitters have slashed .235/.310/.396 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Minnesota’s offense has been powered by second baseman Brian Dozier and right fielder Max Kepler. Dozier is hitting .310/.372/.535 with 22 hits, nine RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Kepler is hitting .288/.383/.596 with 15 hits, four homers, seven RBIs and six runs scored.
The Twins have gained 0.0 units and are 9-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 4.7 units and are 5-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in eight of those games, as opposed to four that’ve gone under.
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Twins have lost four of their last five games SU.
Minnesota has recorded 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.0 over its last five.
The Twins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
*****
