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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Free Pick 04/24/18

Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Angels are ready to square off against their divisional rival Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. ATTSN Southwest will televise the matchup and the game will get going at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Odds

Los Angeles (+130) is coming into this one as the underdog against Houston (-140) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -170 for taking the Angels +1.5 runs and +150 for the Astros -1.5.

The Astros are 16-8 SU and 13-10 ATS. The team has gained 1.6 units for moneyline bettors and 1.1 units against the spread (ATS). Houston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Angels are 15-8 SU and have gone 11-11 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 4.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 1.1 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Astros games have an over/under record of 9-13-1 so far in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 13-9.

Shohei Ohtani will get the start for the visiting Angels. The right-handed Ohtani is 2-1 with a 3.60 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Astros this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Astros are turning to righty Charlie Morton (3-0, 0.72 ERA), who has 33 punchouts and six walks as well as a WHIP of 0.88. Morton made three starts against the team in 2017, putting together a spotless 2-0 record in 2017, posting a perfect 2-0 record with a 2.12 ERA and 13 strikeouts.

As a unit, Houston’s pitchers have given up 2.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 2.12 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.42, a WHIP of 1.06 and a K/9 of 9.5. In 12 games against AL West opponents, Astros starters have an ERA of 1.77 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.39.

The Houston offense has put up 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 7.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .303/.389/.489 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Shortstop Carlos Correa and left fielder Josh Reddick have led the Astros’ batters so far. Correa is slashing .346/.402/.580 with four home runs, 19 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Reddick’s line is .246/.364/.538 with six homers, 15 RBIs and 14 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .314/.363/.484, Reddick appeared to enjoy facing right-handed pitching at home in 2017, slashing .364/.397/.561 across 209 plate appearances.

For the visitors, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.80 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.11 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.10, along with a K/9 of 8.94.

Angels hitters have slashed .256/.320/.425 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 6.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani have led Los Angeles’ offense. Trout is slashing .307/.410/.670 with nine home runs, 17 RBIs, 19 runs and five steals, while Ohtani is hitting .333/.378/.619 with three homers, 11 RBIs and five runs scored.

The Angels have gained 3.4 units and are 9-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 0.8 units and are 8-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in five of those games, as opposed to nine which went under the total.

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

Los Angeles fielders have committed three errors over their last five games, compared to zero errors for Houston over its last five.

The Angels have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 10 over their last 10.

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