The Colorado Rockies are set to host their divisional rival San Diego Padres at Coors Field. Fox Sports San Diego will be televising the action and the game gets underway at 3:10 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Odds
Colorado (-150) is the favorite over San Diego (+140) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 10.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Padres +1.5 runs (-155) and Rockies +-1.5 runs (+135).
The Padres are just 9-16 SU and are 10-14 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.9 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 7.7 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 13-12 SU and 12-12 ATS. The team has gained 0.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.4 units ATS. Colorado has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Rockies games have an over/under record of 12-10-2 thus far in 2018. Padres games have gone over 11 times, gone under 11 times and pushed on two instances.
Right-hander Tyson Ross is the projected starter for the visiting Padres. Ross is 2-1 with a 2.81 ERA and 24 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with two strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Colorado this year.
The Rockies will turn to righty Jon Gray (1-4, 7.09 ERA) to the mound. Gray has 24 strikeouts and eight walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.65. Gray is 1-1 with 13 strikeouts and a 5.25 ERA across two starts against San Diego this year.
As a unit, Colorado’s pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.75, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 5.28 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 12 games against NL West foes, Rockies starters have an ERA of 4.30 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.09.
Colorado’s hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .277/.365/.452 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Outfielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado have paced the Rockies’ offense this year. Blackmon is hitting .299/.379/.649 with eight home runs, 15 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Arenado is batting .343 with four homers, 12 RBIs and 11 runs scored.
Blackmon especially enjoyed hitting against right-handed pitching at home in 2017. In 234 such plate appearances, he slashed .381/.462/.787 (compared to his total season line of .331/.399/.601).
For the visiting squad, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.21 ERA, 1.61 WHIP and 7.82 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.64, along with a K/9 of 10.29.
Padres hitters have slashed .224/.294/.368 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer have led San Diego’s hitters. Villanueva is slashing .355/.444/.774 with seven home runs, 16 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Hosmer (.259/.364/.412) is up to two homers, four RBIs and 12 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 2.3 units and are 7-8 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 3.1 units and are 7-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under.
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Padres have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 13 over their last 10.
Colorado has posted 19.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.4 over its last five.
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