The Detroit Tigers are paying a visit to Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles. This AL matchup will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing the game.
Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Vegas has put equal -105 moneyline odds on each team. The total stands at 9.5 runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Tigers -1.5 runs (+140) and Orioles 1.5 runs (-160).
The Orioles are just 6-19 SU and 8-16 ATS. They’ve lost 10.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.7 units against the spread (ATS). The Tigers, on the other hand, are 10-13 SU and have gone 11-11 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors in this young season and 0.1 units ATS.
Orioles games have an over/under record of 10-13-1 thus far in 2018. The Tigers have an over/under record of 11-11.
Mike Fiers will get the start for Detroit. The right-handed Fiers is 2-1 with a 3.71 ERA and 10 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 1.29 ERA and nine strikeouts across seven innings).
The Orioles are sending righty Chris Tillman (0-4, 9.87 ERA) to the mound. Tillman has eight punchouts and 11 walks to his name, as well as a 2.37 WHIP. Tillman only made one start against the Tigers in 2017 (0-1, 22.50 ERA across two innings).
Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 5.54 ERA, 1.62 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.36 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.
Baltimore’s offense is putting up 3.3 runs per contest, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .220/.264/.354 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Manny Machado and left fielder Trey Mancini have led the way for the Orioles’ hitters this year. Machado is slashing .347/.429/.663 with eight home runs, 18 RBIs and 13 runs scored, and Mancini’s line sits at .278/.347/.411 with 25 hits, eight RBIs and 13 runs.
Machado seemed to enjoy hitting righty pitching at home in 2017, slashing .286/.355/.534 in 265 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .260/.311/.473).
In the other dugout, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.92 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.24 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.50, along with a K-per-9 of 7.98.
The Tigers offense has slashed .257/.322/.418 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Third baseman Jeimer Candelario and first baseman Miguel Cabrera have led Detroit’s hitters. Candelario is slashing .290/.359/.548 with four home runs, 11 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Cabrera (.325/.409/.500) is up to two homers, 16 RBIs and 12 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .283/.359/.425, Candelario didn’t perform especially well against righties on the road last year, maintaining a slash line of .173/.218/.269 across 55 such plate appearances.
The Tigers have gained 0.7 units and are 10-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in eight of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 7.3 units and are 5-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in six of those games, as opposed to 10 that’ve gone under.
Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in only two of Detroit’s last seven games.
The Tigers have lost three of their last four games SU while the Orioles have lost 11 of their last 12 SU.
Detroit has posted 28.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 30.2 over its last five.
The Tigers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 12 over their last 10.
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