The New York Yankees will head west to face off against the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. YES Network will showcase this AL matchup and the action gets underway at 10:07 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels Odds
Vegas is listing Los Angeles (+155) as the underdog to New York (-165). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over eight runs and -120 for under eight. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -115 for the Yankees -1.5 runs and -105 for the Angels +1.5.
The Angels are 16-9 SU and 13-12 ATS. They’ve gained 6.8 units for moneyline bettors and 1.9 units against the spread (ATS). Los Angeles has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Yankees have gone 15-9 SU this year and are 13-10 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 0.8 units for moneyline bettors over the early part of the season, but have gained 1.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Los Angeles games have had an over/under record of 14-11 so far in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent over bet with a total record of 16-6-1.
Luis Severino will get the nod for New York. The right-handed Severino is 4-1 with a 2.32 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Angels this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 7.50 ERA and five strikeouts across six innings).
The Angels are turning to lefty Andrew Heaney (0-1, 9.64 ERA), who has 13 strikeouts and three walks as well as a 1.71 WHIP. Heaney did not record a start against the Yankees in 2017.
Los Angeles’ pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 4.97 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.25 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
The Los Angeles hitters have put up 5.0 runs per contest, including 2.7 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .181/.257/.368 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Right fielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons have led the Angels’ offense so far. Trout is hitting .295/.404/.663 with 10 home runs, 18 RBIs, 20 runs and five steals, and Simmons has produced a line of .318/.396/.471 with three homers, 13 RBIs and 17 runs.
Trout seemed to enjoy hitting righty pitching at home last year, slashing .352/.468/.753 across 203 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .306/.442/.629).
For the visitors, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.05 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.24 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.76, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K-per-9 of 13.11.
Yankees hitters have slashed .263/.355/.475 on their way to 6.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (5-0 SU).
New York’s offensive production been powered by shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge, who’ve collectively swatted 16 home runs. Gregorius is slashing .354/.452/.793 with nine home runs, 29 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Judge (.337/.482/.640) has produced seven homers, 17 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
Putting up a slash line of .235/.278/.324 across 72 such plate appearances, Gregorius didn’t do as well hitting against left-handed pitching on the road in 2017 (compared to his overall season slash line of .287/.317/.478).
The Yankees have gained 0.8 units and are 5-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to two that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Angels have netted 5.5 units and are 11-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under.
New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
New York fielders have 10 errors over the last 10 games, compared to four errors for Los Angeles over its last 10.
The Yankees have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
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