The Philadelphia Phillies are set to host their divisional rival Atlanta Braves at Citizens Bank Park. FOX Sports South will be showing the matchup and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Vegas has listed Atlanta (+150) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-160). The total stands at 7.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -105 and the under for -115. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Braves +1.5 runs (-145) and Phillies +-1.5 runs (+125).
The Braves are 14-10 SU and have gone 14-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 6.0 units for moneyline gamblers over the early portions of the season and 5.5 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 15-9 SU and 9-14 ATS. The team’s gained 6.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 8.2 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in three of those seven.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 10-10-3 so far in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 10-10-3.
The right-handed Julio Teheran will get the nod for the visiting Braves. Teheran is 1-1 with a 4.00 ERA and 27 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against Philadelphia this year (four starts).
The Phillies are sending righty Aaron Nola (2-1, 2.30 ERA) to the mound. Nola has 24 strikeouts and nine walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.93. Nola is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 2.38 ERA over two starts against Atlanta this year.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have yielded 3.8 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.50, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.18, a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 9.3. In 11 games against NL East opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.42 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.01.
Philadelphia’s hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .250/.324/.354 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ offense has been led by outfielder Rhys Hoskins and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Hoskins is hitting .338/.495/.608 with four home runs, 19 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Hernandez is batting .310 with 27 hits, 10 RBIs, 18 runs and five stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.45 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.18 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.05, along with a WHIP of 1.34 and a K-per-9 of 9.06.
Braves hitters have slashed .269/.344/.436 on their way to 5.6 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Atlanta’s offense has been powered by first baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies, who’ve collectively launched 12 home runs. Freeman is hitting .326/.455/.584 with four home runs, 17 RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Albies (.288/.333/.635) has produced eight homers, 16 RBIs and 24 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 4.7 units and are 13-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 1.9 units and are 5-12 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in six of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve gone under.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Braves have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
Philadelphia has recorded 19.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.4 over its last five.
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