The Detroit Tigers will be taking on the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising this AL matchup and the action gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Detroit (+110) as the underdog to Baltimore (-120). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds listed at -105 for over 9 runs and -115 for under 9. The game’s current runline odds stand at -190 for taking the Tigers +1.5 runs and +165 for the Orioles -1.5 runs.
The Orioles are only 7-19 SU and 8-17 ATS. They’ve lost 11.8 units for moneyline bettors and 9.7 units against the spread (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Tigers have gone 10-14 SU this year and are 12-11 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 2.0 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, but have gained 0.9 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Baltimore games have an 11-13-1 over/under record thus far in 2018. Detroit has an over/under record of 11-12.
Left-hander Francisco Liriano will get the start for the visiting Tigers. Liriano is 2-1 with a 3.13 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Baltimore this year.
The Orioles are handing the ball to righty Andrew Cashner (1-3, 3.60 ERA), who has 28 strikeouts and 13 walks, as well as a 1.33 WHIP. Cashner is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Detroit this year.
Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.95 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.25 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.70, along with a K-per-9 of 7.80.
Tigers hitters have slashed .251/.317/.407 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Third baseman Jeimer Candelario and first baseman Miguel Cabrera have led Detroit’s hitters. Candelario is slashing .281/.355/.531 with four home runs, 11 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Cabrera has a .313 average with two homers, 16 RBIs and 12 runs scored.
Candelario seemed to have some trouble hitting right-handed pitching on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .173/.218/.269 across 55 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .283/.359/.425).
In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have yielded 5.4 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 5.26 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.27 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.
The Baltimore hitters have produced 3.4 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .251/.290/.449 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Orioles’ hitters have been led by Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez. Machado is hitting .356/.440/.693 with nine home runs, 20 RBIs and 14 runs scored, and Alvarez’s line sits at .218/.338/.473 with four homers, 10 RBIs and nine runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .260/.311/.473, Machado performed well against left-handed pitching at home in 2017, slashing .300/.345/.588 over 87 such plate appearances.
The Tigers have lost 0.3 units and are 11-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in eight of those games, as opposed to 12 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 3.3 units and are 3-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in four of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under.
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Tigers have lost four of their last five games SU.
Detroit has recorded 26.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.
The Tigers have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 15 over their last 10.
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