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New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview 04/28/18

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees will square off against the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. This AL showdown can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the first pitch is scheduled for 9:07 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels Odds

Los Angeles (-110) is the favorite over New York (+100) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Yankees +1.5 runs (-210) and Angels +-1.5 runs (+175).

Yankees vs Angels

The Angels are 16-10 SU and 13-12 ATS. The team’s gained 6.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.9 units against the spread (ATS). The Yankees, on the other hand, have gone 16-9 SU this year and are 13-11 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 0.1 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 0.2 units ATS.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 14-11 so far in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent over bet with a total record of 16-7-1.

Right-hander Masahiro Tanaka is getting the start for the visiting Yankees. Tanaka is 3-2 with a 4.97 ERA and 28 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Angels this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.35 ERA and eight strikeouts across 6.2 innings).

The Angels are putting the ball in the hands of righty Garrett Richards (3-0, 3.46 ERA), who has 35 strikeouts and 16 walks, as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Richards did not record a start against the Yankees in 2017.

As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.84 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.27 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

The Los Angeles offense is putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 2.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .175/.246/.319 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Outfielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons have led the Angels’ hitters this year. Trout is slashing .293/.398/.646 with 10 home runs, 18 RBIs, 21 runs and five stolen bases, and Simmons has produced a line of .315/.390/.483 with three homers, 15 RBIs and 17 runs.

Trout performed well against righties at home last season, slashing .352/.468/.753 in 203 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .306/.442/.629).

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.04 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.35 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.64, along with a K/9 of 12.80.

The Yankees offense has slashed .260/.352/.471 on its way to 6.0 runs scored per game this season, including 6.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).

New York’s offense has been led by shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge, who collectively have belted 17 home runs. Gregorius is slashing .368/.459/.828 with 10 home runs, 30 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Judge is hitting .319/.462/.604 with seven homers, 17 RBIs and 22 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .287/.317/.478, Gregorius performed well against righty pitching on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .350/.377/.596 across 215 such plate appearances.

The Yankees have lost 0.7 units and are 8-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to five that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Angels have netted 5.5 units and are 11-8 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to eight that went under the total.

New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in four of Los Angeles’ last seven games.

Los Angeles has recorded 13.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 14.6 over its last five.

The Yankees have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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