The Atlanta Braves will be taking on their division rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. FOX Sports South will televise the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 6:05 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (-135) is favored against Atlanta (+125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -170 for the Braves +1.5 runs and +150 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.
The Braves have gone 14-11 SU this year and are 15-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 7.0 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 6.7 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 16-9 SU and 9-15 ATS. The team’s gained 5.0 units for moneyline bettors while earning 9.2 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has cashed in three of those seven.
Phillies games have an 11-10-3 over/under record so far in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 11-10-3.
Mike Foltynewicz will get the start for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Foltynewicz is 1-1 with a 2.77 ERA and 33 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 2.45 ERA against Philadelphia this year (three starts).
The Phillies are putting the ball in the hands of righty Nick Pivetta (1-0, 2.57 ERA), who has 28 strikeouts and four walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.00. Pivetta is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 4.00 ERA over two starts against Atlanta this year.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 3.8 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.52, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.10, a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 9.5. In 12 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.78.
Philadelphia’s offense has put up 5.0 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .264/.337/.411 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ hitters have been led by outfielders Rhys Hoskins and Odubel Herrera. Hoskins is hitting .346/.495/.603 with four home runs, 19 RBIs and 16 runs scored, and Herrera’s line is .348/.392/.528 with three homers, 13 RBIs and 16 runs.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.58 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.11 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.21, along with a K/9 of 8.97.
The Braves offense has slashed .268/.341/.432 on its way to 5.5 runs scored per game this season, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Atlanta’s hitters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies, who collectively have belted 12 home runs. Freeman is slashing .333/.457/.581 with four home runs, 18 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Albies (.287/.330/.630) is up to eight homers, 16 RBIs and 25 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 5.7 units and are 14-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 0.7 units and are 5-13 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in seven of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Philadelphia has posted 20.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.4 over its last five.
The Braves have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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