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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants Betting Preview 04/28/18

Lance Iversen-USA TODAY Sports

In the 2 game of a NL West doubleheader, the Los Angeles Dodgers are set to take on the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. NBC Sports – Bay Area will be showing the matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 10:05 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants Odds

San Francisco (+105) is coming into this one as the underdog against Los Angeles (-115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 7 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). The game’s runline odds sit at +130 for betting the Dodgers -1.5 runs and -150 for the Giants +1.5.

Dodgers vs Giants

The Dodgers have gone 11-13 SU this year and are 8-15 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.4 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 8.3 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Giants, on the other hand, are 12-13 SU and 16-8 ATS. The team’s gained 0.7 units for moneyline bettors and 6.8 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Giants games have an over/under record of 10-14 so far in 2018. Dodgers games have gone over 12 times, gone under 11 times and pushed on zero occasions.

Southpaw Alex Wood will get the nod for Los Angeles. Wood is 0-2 with a 3.72 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against San Francisco this year (three starts).

The Giants are turning to righty Johnny Cueto (2-0, 0.35 ERA), who has 23 strikeouts and four walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 0.65. Cueto is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA across one starts against Los Angeles this year.

San Francisco’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.80, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 3.44 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 17 games against divisional opponents, Giants starters have an ERA of 3.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.71.

The San Francisco hitters are putting up 3.3 runs per outing, including 2.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .253/.319/.434 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Brandon Belt and third baseman Evan Longoria have paced the Giants’ hitters this year. Belt is slashing .315/.407/.630 with six home runs, 12 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Longoria’s line sits at .235/.270/.494 with five homers, 10 RBIs and eight runs.

Belt seemed to take a step back when hitting lefty pitching at home last season. Across 76 such plate appearances, he slashed .179/.276/.299 (compared to his overall season line of .241/.355/.469).

In the other dugout, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.21 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 10.16 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.22, along with a WHIP of 1.11.

The Dodgers offense has slashed .241/.321/.387 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Los Angeles’ offense has been powered by catcher Yasmani Grandal and left fielder Matt Kemp. Grandal is slashing .316/.409/.566 with four home runs, 19 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Kemp is slashing .308/.352/.554 with four homers, 12 RBIs and 10 runs scored.

The Dodgers have lost 9.6 units and are 5-10 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 2.8 units and are 10-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in eight of those games, compared to six which went under the total.

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The Giants have won four of their last five games SU.

San Francisco has posted 18.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.8 over its last five.

The Dodgers have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit 14 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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