The Milwaukee Brewers will be facing off against their division rival Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. ET and the action will be televised on WLS and FSWI.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Odds
The Cubs are 13-10 SU and 11-11 ATS. The team’s lost 3.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.5 units against the spread (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Brewers are 16-11 SU and have gone 16-10 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 6.5 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 5.8 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Chicago games have an 11-11 over/under record so far in 2018. The Brewers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 10-16.
Junior Guerra is getting the start for the visiting Brewers. The right-handed Guerra is 2-0 with a 0.56 ERA and 15 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.59 ERA and nine strikeouts across 5.2 innings).
The Cubs are handing the ball to lefty Jose Quintana (2-1, 7.78 ERA), who has 16 strikeouts and 11 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.78. Quintana is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA across one starts against Milwaukee this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.73 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 6.58 K/9. The bullpen has managed an outstanding ERA of just 2.37, along with a K-per-9 of 10.55.
Brewers hitters have slashed .242/.314/.388 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 2.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been led by Lorenzo Cain and Eric Thames, who’ve collectively belted 10 home runs. Cain is slashing .300/.407/.467 with 27 hits, eight RBIs, 17 runs and six stolen bases, while Thames (.250/.351/.625) has produced 16 hits, seven homers, 13 RBIs and 11 runs scored.
Cain performed well against left-handed pitchers on the road in 2017. Across 75 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .318/.400/.621 (compared to his overall season line of .300/.363/.440).
For the home team, Chicago’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 4.45, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 2.77 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 12 games against NL Central foes, Cubs starters have an ERA of 2.49 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.06.
The Chicago offense is putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .272/.323/.422 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Cubs’ hitters have been led by second baseman Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant. Baez is slashing .307/.365/.693 with seven home runs, 25 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Bryant’s line sits at .319/.467/.536 with 22 hits, 11 RBIs and 12 runs.
The Brewers have gained 1.0 units and are 4-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 1.1 units and are 8-8 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to seven that went under the total.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Cubs have won four of their last five games SU.
Chicago has recorded 26.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.6 over its last five.
The Brewers have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 11 over their last 10.
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