The Milwaukee Brewers are ready to play their division rival Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. NBC Sports Chicago will be airing the matchup and the game gets going at 2:20 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Odds
The Cubs are 14-10 SU and 11-12 ATS. The team’s lost 2.3 units for moneyline bettors and 0.6 units against the spread (ATS). The Brewers have gone 16-12 SU this year and are 17-10 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 5.5 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 6.8 units ATS.
Chicago games have an 11-12 over/under record so far in 2018. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 10-17.
The right-handed Zach Davies will get the nod for Milwaukee. Davies is 2-2 with a 4.45 ERA and 22 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Chicago this year (five starts).
The Cubs will turn to righty Tyler Chatwood (1-3, 3.74 ERA), who has 23 strikeouts and 19 walks to his name as well as a 1.71 WHIP. Chatwood hasn’t faced the Brewers yet this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 7.71 ERA and six strikeouts across seven innings).
As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 4.21 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 2.71 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 13 games against NL Central foes, Cubs starters have an ERA of 2.26 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.86.
The Chicago offense is putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .248/.292/.398 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant have led the Cubs’ hitters this year. Baez is hitting .304/.360/.685 with seven home runs, 26 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Bryant’s line is .306/.457/.514 with 22 hits, 11 RBIs and 12 runs.
For the visiting squad, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.64 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 6.67 K/9. The bullpen has logged an excellent ERA of just 2.50, along with a K-per-9 of 10.61.
Brewers hitters have slashed .236/.307/.379 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Milwaukee’s offensive production been powered by Lorenzo Cain and Eric Thames, who’ve collectively launched 10 home runs. Cain is slashing .301/.411/.473 with 28 hits, eight RBIs, 17 runs and six steals, while Thames is hitting .250/.351/.625 with 16 hits, seven homers, 13 RBIs and 11 runs scored.
The Brewers have gained 4.5 units and are 13-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 1.1 units and are 8-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to seven which went under the total.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in six of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
The Cubs have won five of their last six games SU.
Chicago has posted 25.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.6 over its last five.
The Brewers have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 10 over their last 10.
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