The Atlanta Braves will be taking on their division rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The matchup will get going at 1:35 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to FOX Sports South.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Atlanta (+115) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-125). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at -180 for the Braves +1.5 runs and +160 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Braves have gone 15-11 SU this year and are 15-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 6.0 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 5.3 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 16-10 SU and 10-15 ATS. They’ve gained 6.0 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 8.0 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 12-10-3 so far in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 12-10-3.
The right-handed Brandon McCarthy is the probable starter for the visiting Braves. McCarthy is 3-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 2.53 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies will turn to righty Vince Velasquez (1-3, 4.50 ERA), who’s got 30 punchouts and seven walks as well as a WHIP of 1.35. Velasquez is 0-2 with 11 strikeouts and a 7.27 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.
Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.49 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.11 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.09, along with a WHIP of 1.32 and a K-per-9 of 9.15.
The Braves offense has slashed .268/.342/.431 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Atlanta’s offense has been powered by first baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies, who collectively have launched 12 home runs. Freeman is slashing .327/.446/.582 with four home runs, 19 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Albies (.288/.333/.622) is up to eight homers, 17 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.65 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.97, a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 9.2. In 13 games against divisional foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.74 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.37.
The Philadelphia offense has put up 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .256/.333/.397 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Phillies’ offense has been led by outfielders Rhys Hoskins and Odubel Herrera. Hoskins is slashing .333/.486/.580 with four home runs, 19 RBIs and 16 runs scored, and Herrera’s line is .344/.386/.516 with three homers, 13 RBIs and 16 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 4.7 units and are 14-8 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 1.7 units and are 6-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in eight of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve gone under.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Braves have won three of their last four games SU.
Atlanta has recorded 26.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.2 over its last five.
The Braves have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
