The New York Yankees are paying a visit to Minute Maid Park to play the Houston Astros. This AL matchup will begin at 8:10 p.m. ET and ATTSN Southwest will broadcast the game.
New York Yankees at Houston Astros Odds
New York (+140) is the underdog to Houston (-150) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. The game’s runline odds sit at -155 for betting the Yankees +1.5 runs and +135 for the Astros -1.5.
The Yankees have gone 18-9 SU this year and are 14-12 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 0.6 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 19-10 SU and 15-13 ATS. The team has lost 1.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 0.0 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in three of those seven.
Astros games have had an over/under record of 11-15-2 so far in 2018. New York has been a decent over bet with a total record of 17-8-1.
Right-hander Sonny Gray is the probable starter for the visiting Yankees. Gray is 1-1 with a 7.71 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Astros this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and five strikeouts over five innings).
The Astros are preparing to start righty Charlie Morton (3-0, 1.86 ERA), who has 35 punchouts and 11 walks, as well as a 1.10 WHIP. Morton only made one start against the Yankees in 2017 (1-0, 6.35 ERA and 10 strikeouts across five and 2-third innings).
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.80 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.41 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.46, along with a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 12.70.
Yankees hitters have slashed .259/.350/.466 on their way to 6.0 runs scored per game this season, including 6.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Shortstop Didi Gregorius and outfielder Aaron Judge have led New York’s hitters. Gregorius is hitting .340/.436/.766 with 10 home runs, 30 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Judge is hitting .317 with seven homers, 18 RBIs and 24 runs scored.
Maintaining a slash line of .350/.377/.596 across 215 plate appearances, Gregorius seemed to enjoy hitting righty pitching on the road in 2017 (his overall season line was .287/.317/.478).
For the home team, Houston’s pitching staff has given up 2.8 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 2.50 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.80, a WHIP of 1.03 and a K/9 of 9.6.
The Houston hitters are putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 6.8 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .273/.364/.484 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Carlos Correa and second baseman Jose Altuve have led the Astros’ hitters this year. Correa is slashing .320/.387/.520 with four home runs, 20 RBIs and 20 runs scored, and Altuve’s line sits at .351/.409/.447 with 40 hits, 15 RBIs and 16 runs.
Altuve did not do as well hitting against righties at home last season. Across 260 such plate appearances, he slashed .296/.358/.412 (his overall season line was .345/.409/.547).
The Yankees have gained 0.3 units and are 9-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, as opposed to five that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 0.2 units and are 10-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in seven of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under.
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
Houston has recorded 26.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.0 over its last five.
The Yankees have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 16 over their last 10.
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