The Philadelphia Phillies will be squaring off against their NL East nemesis Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Fox SportsNet Florida will televise the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Vegas has listed Miami (+100) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-110). The total is sitting at 8 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 and the under for an even +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Phillies -1.5 runs (+135) and Marlins 1.5 runs (-155).
The Phillies are 16-12 SU and have gone 10-17 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early part of the season, despite having lost 10.0 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 10-18 SU and 13-14 ATS. They’ve lost 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.6 units ATS.
Miami games have an over/under record of 13-14 thus far in 2018. The Phillies have an over/under record of 13-11-3.
Zach Eflin will get the start for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Eflin is 0-0 with an ERA. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Marlins are planning to start lefty Jarlin Garcia (1-0, 1.00 ERA), who has 20 strikeouts and 12 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.81. Garcia is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.17 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.10 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.23, along with a K-per-9 of 9.24.
The Phillies offense has slashed .232/.329/.375 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Philadelphia’s offense has been powered by outfielders Rhys Hoskins and Odubel Herrera. Hoskins is slashing .303/.457/.528 with four home runs, 19 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Herrera has a .343 average with three homers, 13 RBIs and 16 runs scored.
For the home team, Miami’s pitchers have yielded 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 4.52, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 5.06 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In seven games against NL East opponents, Marlins starters have an ERA of 7.58 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.03.
The Miami offense has put up 3.4 runs per outing, including 3.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .257/.333/.431 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins’ hitters have been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and first baseman Justin Bour. Anderson is slashing .265/.375/.382 with 27 hits, 16 RBIs and 13 runs scored, and Bour’s line is .247/.354/.412 with four homers, 13 RBIs and eight runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .262/.337/.369, Anderson performed well against righties at home in 2017, slashing .303/.425/.455 over 40 such plate appearances.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
The Phillies have lost four of their last five games SU while the Marlins have won five of their last six SU.
Philadelphia has recorded 18.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.4 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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