The Minnesota Twins will do battle against the Toronto Blue Jays at Target Field. Fox Sports North will showcase this AL matchup and the game gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Minnesota (-135) is the favorite against Toronto (+125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 10 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +105 for the over and -125 for the under. The game’s runline odds sit at -170 for taking the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and +150 for the Twins -1.5.
The Twins are just 9-15 SU and 13-10 ATS. They’ve lost 5.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.4 units against the spread (ATS). Minnesota has a – ATS mark over its last seven games and the . The Blue Jays have gone 16-12 SU this year and are 15-12 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 1.6 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the year and 3.5 units ATS. Toronto is – ATS over its last seven games and the .
Twins games have an over/under record of 12-11 so far in 2018. The Blue Jays have an over/under record of 12-12-3.
Marco Estrada is getting the start for the Blue Jays. The right-handed Estrada is 2-2 with a 6.00 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He has yet to face Minnesota this year, but he made two starts against the Twins in 2017, putting together a 2-0 record against them with a 3.21 ERA and nine strikeouts.
The Twins will put the ball in the right hand of Kyle Gibson (1-1, 3.33 ERA, 1.26 WHIP), who has 30 strikeouts and 14 walks. Gibson made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a spotless 2-0 record in 2017, compiling a spotless 2-0 record with a 4.97 ERA and 15 strikeouts.
As a unit, Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 5.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.78, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 5.98 ERA, 1.67 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Minnesota offense is putting up 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .273/.350/.483 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Twins’ offense has been led by right fielder Max Kepler and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Kepler is slashing .299/.358/.563 with four home runs, 10 RBIs and nine runs scored, and Escobar is hitting .301 with four homers, 14 RBIs and 12 runs.
Kepler performed well against right-handed pitching at home last year, slashing .297/.367/.528 across 218 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .243/.312/.425).
In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.29 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.81 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 2.28, along with a K-per-9 of 9.23.
The Blue Jays offense has slashed .232/.319/.424 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Outfielders Kevin Pillar and Teoscar Hernandez have led Toronto’s offense. Pillar is slashing .305/.351/.552 with four home runs, 14 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Hernandez is hitting .306/.377/.677 with four homers, 11 RBIs and 13 runs scored.
Hernandez appeared to have a little trouble hitting righty pitching on the road last year. Over 30 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .231/.333/.500 (compared to his overall season line of .271/.315/.624).
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Blue Jays have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
Toronto has recorded 18.3 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.0 over its last five.
The Twins have lost 10 of their last 11 games SU.
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