The New York Yankees will be squaring off against the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. ATTSN Southwest will broadcast this AL showdown and the opening pitch will be at 8:10 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Odds
Vegas has put equal moneyline odds (-105) on each team. Gamblers can bet on the game’s total with odds listed at -105 for over 8 runs and -115 for under 8. The game’s runline odds stand at +140 for betting the Yankees -1.5 runs and -160 for the Astros +1.5 runs.
The Yankees are 19-10 SU and are 15-13 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.1 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 0.6 units ATS. The Astros, on the other hand, are 20-11 SU and 16-14 ATS. The team’s gained 0.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.0 units ATS.
Astros games have an over/under record of 12-16-2 so far in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent over bet with a total record of 17-10-1.
Right-hander Luis Severino is the projected starter for the visiting Yankees. Severino is 4-1 with a 2.61 ERA and 42 strikeouts. He has yet to face Houston this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2017, posting a 0-1 record with a 10.57 ERA and nine strikeouts.
The Astros will put the ball in the left hand of Dallas Keuchel (1-4, 4.00 ERA), who has 28 strikeouts and 12 walks this season as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Keuchel only made one start against the Yankees in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and nine strikeouts across six innings).
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.75 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.26 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.15, along with a K-per-9 of 12.69.
Yankees hitters have slashed .253/.341/.451 on their way to 5.8 runs scored per game this season, including 6.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
New York’s hitters have been led by shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge, who have combined to launch 17 home runs. Gregorius is hitting .333/.424/.735 with 10 home runs, 30 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Judge (.314/.447/.571) has produced seven homers, 18 RBIs and 25 runs scored.
Gregorius did not seem to enjoy hitting against left-handed pitchers on the road in 2017. Across 72 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .235/.278/.324 (compared to his total season line of .287/.317/.478).
In the home-team dugout, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 2.8 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 2.34 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 11.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.16 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.
The Houston hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .232/.300/.374 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Shortstop Carlos Correa and second baseman Jose Altuve have led the Astros’ hitters this year. Correa is hitting .321/.394/.519 with four home runs, 21 RBIs and 20 runs scored, and Altuve’s line sits at .344/.400/.434 with 42 hits, 15 RBIs and 17 runs.
Altuve did not seem to enjoy hitting against righties at home last year. Across 260 such plate appearances, he slashed .296/.358/.412 (compared to his overall season line of .345/.409/.547).
The Yankees have gained 2.9 units and are 5-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Astros have netted 1.8 units and are 11-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in eight of those games, as opposed to 11 which went under the total.
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in four of New York’s last seven games.
The Yankees have won 10 of their last 11 games SU.
The New York defense has allowed seven errors over the last 10 games, compared to zero errors for Houston over its last 10.
The Yankees have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 12 over their last 10.
*****
