The Baltimore Orioles are set to face the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. This AL matchup will begin at 10:07 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network.
Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels Odds
Los Angeles (-145) is the favorite over Baltimore (+135) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-130 for the under and +110 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Orioles +1.5 runs (-160) and Angels +-1.5 runs (+140).
The Orioles have gone only 8-21 SU this year and are 10-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.2 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the year and 7.8 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Angels, on the other hand, are 17-12 SU and 15-13 ATS. They’ve gained 3.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.4 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Los Angeles games have a 15-13 over/under record thus far in 2018. Baltimore has an over/under record of 12-15-1.
Dylan Bundy is getting the nod for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Bundy is 1-3 with a 2.97 ERA and 44 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Angels this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 2.57 ERA and 10 strikeouts across seven innings).
The Angels will send lefty Andrew Heaney (0-1, 6.91 ERA) to the mound. Heaney has 22 punchouts and four walks to his name, as well as a 1.53 WHIP. Heaney only made one start against the Orioles in 2017 (0-0, 9.00 ERA and five strikeouts across five innings).
As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has given up 4.4 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.83, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.20, a WHIP of 1.33 and a K/9 of 8.9.
The Los Angeles hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 2.7 per game over its last 10 games and 2.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .198/.247/.329 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Right fielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons have led the Angels’ offense this year. Trout is slashing .288/.423/.625 with 10 home runs, 18 RBIs, 21 runs and five stolen bases, and the line for Simmons stands at .309/.380/.474 with three homers, 15 RBIs and 18 runs.
Trout seemed to enjoy hitting righty pitching at home last year, slashing .352/.468/.753 in 203 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .306/.442/.629).
In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.25 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 7.78 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.26, along with a WHIP of 1.57 and a K/9 of 8.61.
The Orioles offense has slashed .221/.292/.373 on its way to 3.4 runs scored per game this year, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez have led Baltimore’s offense. Machado is hitting .366/.450/.688 with nine home runs, 23 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Alvarez is hitting .222/.338/.540 with six homers, 13 RBIs and 12 runs scored.
Maintaining a slash line of .229/.268/.398 across 336 plate appearances, Machado seemed to take a step back when hitting on the road last season (compared to his total season slash line of .260/.311/.473).
The Orioles have lost 3.6 units and are 4-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Angels have netted 3.5 units and are 12-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under.
Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
Los Angeles has recorded 15.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 15.2 over its last five.
Both teams have hit 12 home runs over their last 10 games.
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