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Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview 05/03/18

Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Angels are playing host to the Baltimore Orioles at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. This AL showdown will get underway at 10:07 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels Odds

The Angels are 18-12 SU and 15-14 ATS. They’ve gained 4.7 units for moneyline bettors and 1.4 units against the spread (ATS). Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Orioles have gone 8-22 SU this year and are 11-18 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 12.2 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 6.8 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Orioles vs Angels

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 15-14 so far in 2018. Orioles games have gone under 16 times, gone over 12 times and pushed on one occasion.

The right-handed Chris Tillman will get the start for the visiting Orioles. Tillman is 1-4 with a 7.03 ERA and 13 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Angels this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 6.75 ERA and two strikeouts over 5.1 innings).

The Angels will put the ball in the right hand of Jaime Barria (1-1, 3.86 ERA, 1.43 WHIP), who has four strikeouts and four walks. Barria did not pitch in the majors last season.

Los Angeles’ pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 4.70 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.54 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

The Los Angeles hitters have produced 4.8 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .225/.292/.420 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Right fielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons have led the Angels’ hitters so far. Trout is hitting .292/.433/.651 with 11 home runs, 19 RBIs, 23 runs and five stolen bases, and Simmons is hitting .320 with three homers, 16 RBIs and 19 runs.

Trout particularly relished hitting against righties at home last year. Across 203 such plate appearances, he slashed .352/.468/.753 (compared to his overall season line of .306/.442/.629).

In the visiting dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.39 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 7.80 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.37, along with a K/9 of 8.65.

The Orioles offense has slashed .224/.294/.374 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Baltimore’s hitters have been powered by Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez, who have combined to blast 15 home runs. Machado is hitting .353/.433/.664 with nine home runs, 25 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Alvarez is hitting .234/.347/.547 with six homers, 13 RBIs and 12 runs scored.

Machado did not perform especially well against righty pitching on the road last season. Across 254 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .227/.264/.387 (his total season line was .260/.311/.473).

The Orioles have lost 8.6 units and are 7-12 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Angels have netted 4.5 units and are 12-10 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 10 that went under.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The Orioles have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

Los Angeles has recorded 16.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.8 over its last five.

The Orioles have lost three of their last four games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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