The San Francisco Giants will head east to face the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. FOX Sports South is in line to televise this NL matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:35 p.m. ET.
San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves Odds
Vegas has listed San Francisco (+125) as the underdog to Atlanta (-135). The total sits at nine runs and bettors can take the over for -105 or the under for -115. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -170 for the Giants +1.5 runs and +150 for the Braves -1.5.
The Giants are 16-15 SU and are 20-11 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 4.2 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 8.1 units ATS. The Braves, on the other hand, are 19-11 SU and 19-10 ATS. The team has gained 11.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.3 units ATS.
Atlanta games have had an over/under record of 13-13-3 so far in 2018. The Giants have an over/under record of 15-16.
Chris Stratton will get the start for San Francisco. The right-handed Stratton is 2-2 with a 3.90 ERA and 27 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Braves will turn to righty Mike Foltynewicz (2-1, 2.53 ERA), who has 39 strikeouts and 15 walks to his name as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Foltynewicz only made one start against the Giants in 2017 (0-1, 11.25 ERA and four strikeouts across four innings).
As a unit, Atlanta’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.06, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 3.78 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
Atlanta’s offense has produced 5.7 runs per outing, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 7.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .321/.383/.568 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis have led the Braves’ batters so far. Freeman is hitting .322/.436/.548 with four home runs, 22 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while the line for Markakis stands at .336/.429/.529 with five homers, 23 RBIs and 20 runs.
Freeman seemed to enjoy hitting right-handed pitching at home last year, slashing .362/.475/.638 in 160 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .307/.403/.586).
In the visiting dugout, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.03 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.35 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.67, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K/9 of 8.15.
The Giants offense has slashed .243/.309/.382 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
San Francisco’s offensive production been led by first baseman Brandon Belt and catcher Nick Hundley. Belt is slashing .304/.425/.576 with six home runs, 15 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Hundley is hitting .326/.367/.609 with three homers, nine RBIs and 10 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .244/.272/.418, Hundley didn’t do as well hitting against righty pitching last year, maintaining a slash line of .214/.235/.349 over 200 plate appearances.
The Giants have lost 3.0 units and are 7-6 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 10.1 units and are 18-8 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under.
San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – UNDER
Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in three of Atlanta’s last seven games.
The Giants have won four of their last five games SU while the Braves have won seven of their last eight SU.
The San Francisco defense has allowed eight errors over the last 10 games, compared to two errors for Atlanta over its last 10.
The Giants have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 17 over their last 10.
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