The New York Mets are trying to avoid losing their fourth straight game they play host to the Colorado Rockies at Citi Field. This NL matchup will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to SportsNet New York.
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Colorado (+115) as the underdog to New York (-125). The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for +100 and the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -180 for the Rockies +1.5 runs and +160 for the Mets -1.5.
The Rockies have gone 17-15 SU this year and are 17-15 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.4 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the year and 2.1 units ATS. Colorado’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 17-12 SU and 15-13 ATS. They’ve gained 5.3 units for moneyline bettors and 3.1 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Mets games have an over/under record of 14-13-1 so far in 2018. The Rockies have an over/under record of 13-17-2.
Right-hander German Marquez will get the nod for the visiting Rockies. Marquez is 1-3 with a 5.14 ERA and 27 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 4.50 ERA and five strikeouts over six innings).
The Mets will put the ball in the right hand of Zack Wheeler (2-1, 4.09 ERA), who’s got 21 punchouts and eight walks as well as a 1.32 WHIP. Wheeler did not record a start against the Rockies in 2017.
New York’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.24 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.98 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
New York’s hitters have put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .222/.281/.345 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier have led the Mets’ offense this year. Cabrera is slashing .327/.382/.555 with five home runs, 17 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Frazier is hitting .255 with four homers, 17 RBIs and 17 runs.
Cabrera didn’t do as well batting at home last year. Over 241 plate appearances, he slashed .245/.315/.366 (compared to his total season line of .280/.351/.434).
In the other dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.08 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.37 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.71, along with a WHIP of 1.29.
The Rockies offense has slashed .226/.304/.392 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Third baseman Nolan Arenado and outfielder Charlie Blackmon have led Colorado’s hitters. Arenado is slashing .320/.412/.619 with seven home runs, 19 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Blackmon is hitting .284/.387/.608 with 10 homers, 19 RBIs and 25 runs scored.
Arenado did not do as well hitting against righty pitching on the road last year. Over 263 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .243/.316/.443 (compared to his total season line of .309/.373/.586).
The Rockies have gained 8.5 units and are 10-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in nine of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have netted 3.4 units and are 10-10 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 11 of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under.
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Rockies have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
Colorado fielders have committed five errors over their last five games, compared to two errors for New York over its last five.
The Mets have lost four of their last five games SU.
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