The Los Angeles Dodgers will head east to play their NL West foe San Diego Padres at Estadio de Beisbol Monterrey. Fox Sports San Diego will showcase the action. The game gets underway at 9:10 p.m. ET.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Odds
Vegas is listing Los Angeles (-130) as the favorite over San Diego (+120). The total sits at 7.5 runs and bettors can take the over for +100 or the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Dodgers -1.5 runs (+115) and Padres 1.5 runs (-135).
The Padres are 11-21 SU and 13-19 ATS. The team has lost 6.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.4 units against the spread (ATS). On the other hand, the Dodgers have gone 14-17 SU this year and are 10-20 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 16.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 12.2 units ATS.
Padres games have had an over/under record of 15-15-2 so far in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 16-14.
The right-handed Walker Buehler will get the nod for the visiting Dodgers. Buehler is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 11 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Padres will send lefty Joey Lucchesi (3-1, 2.78 ERA) to the mound. Lucchesi has 35 strikeouts and 10 walks to his name, as well as a 1.11 WHIP. Lucchesi did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.
San Diego’s pitching staff has yielded 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.39 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.47 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 23 games against NL West foes, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.92 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.01.
The San Diego offense has produced 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .269/.333/.423 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer have led the Padres’ batters so far. Villanueva is slashing .299/.384/.667 with nine home runs, 20 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Hosmer’s line is .303/.402/.505 with 33 hits, eight RBIs and 16 runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .318/.385/.498, Hosmer appeared to enjoy facing righty pitching at home last year, hitting .354/.439/.615 across 221 plate appearances.
In the visiting dugout, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.48 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.80 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.37, along with a K-per-9 of 10.05.
Dodgers hitters have slashed .242/.326/.392 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Catcher Yasmani Grandal and first baseman Cody Bellinger have led Los Angeles’ hitters. Grandal is slashing .298/.396/.521 with four home runs, 21 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Bellinger (.288/.338/.483) has produced four homers, 16 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
Maintaining a slash line of .143/.250/.238 across 48 such plate appearances, Grandal did not seem to enjoy hitting against lefties on the road in 2017 (compared to his overall season slash line of .247/.308/.459).
The Dodgers have lost 4.8 units and are 3-7 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 6.3 units and are 8-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in eight of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve gone under.
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in three of Los Angeles’ last seven games.
Los Angeles has recorded 20.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 16.2 over its last five.
The Dodgers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit nine over their last 10.
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