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Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners Free Pick 05/04/18

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Angels will head north to Safeco Field to play their division rival Seattle Mariners. The matchup starts at 10:10 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on both RTNW and FSW.

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners Odds

Vegas is listing Los Angeles (-135) as the favorite over Seattle (+125). The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Angels -1.5 runs (+110) and Mariners 1.5 runs (-130).

Athletics vs Orioles

The Angels have gone 19-12 SU this year and are 16-14 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.7 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 2.7 units ATS. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 18-12 SU and 18-11 ATS. The team has gained 6.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.7 units ATS.

Mariners games have an over/under record of 19-10 thus far in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 16-14.

The right-handed Garrett Richards will get the start for the visiting Angels. Richards is 3-1 with a 4.88 ERA and 37 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mariners are turning to righty Mike Leake (3-2, 6.48 ERA), who’s got 22 punchouts and 11 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.53. Leake only made one start against the Angels in 2017 (1-0, 3.00 ERA and five strikeouts across six innings).

As a unit, Seattle’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.18, a WHIP of 1.39 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 3.82 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 10.3 K/9. In 13 games against divisional foes, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.48 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.34.

Seattle’s offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .290/.352/.545 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Mariners’ hitters have been led by right fielder Mitch Haniger and second baseman Robinson Cano. Haniger is slashing .299/.379/.654 with 10 home runs, 27 RBIs and 17 runs scored, and Cano’s line is .299/.411/.449 with three homers, 16 RBIs and 19 runs.

Compared to his total season slash line of .280/.338/.453, Cano appeared to enjoy facing righties at home last season, slashing .321/.393/.542 across 214 plate appearances.

In the visiting dugout, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.63 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.08 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.53, along with a K-per-9 of 8.95.

Angels hitters have slashed .253/.317/.428 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 6.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Outfielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons have led Los Angeles’ offense. Trout is hitting .297/.432/.658 with 11 home runs, 21 RBIs, 25 runs and five stolen bases, while Simmons is slashing .327/.391/.510 with three homers, 19 RBIs and 21 runs scored.

The Angels have gained 5.5 units and are 13-10 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 4.7 units and are 12-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 16 of those games, as opposed to five that’ve cashed the under.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in four of Los Angeles’ last seven games.

The Mariners have won four of their last five games SU.

Los Angeles has posted 19.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.2 over its last five.

The Angels have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 16 over their last 10.

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