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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Matchup 05/04/18

Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

The red-hot Washington Nationals are seeking their sixth win in a row they play host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing the action and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Vegas is listing Philadelphia (+130) as the underdog to Washington (-140). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Phillies +1.5 runs (-170) and Nationals +-1.5 runs (+150).

Athletics vs Orioles

The Phillies have gone 17-13 SU this year and are 11-19 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.1 units for moneyline bettors in this young season, despite having lost 11.0 units ATS. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 16-16 SU and 15-16 ATS. They’ve lost 7.1 units for moneyline bettors and 1.2 units ATS.

Washington games have an over/under record of 14-15-2 so far in 2018. Phillies games have gone over 14 times, gone under 13 times and pushed on three occasions.

Right-hander Nick Pivetta is the probable starter for the visiting Phils. Pivetta is 1-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He has yet to face Washington this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 0-1 record with a 7.45 ERA and 11 strikeouts.

The Nationals are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Gio Gonzalez (3-2, 2.67 ERA), who has 37 strikeouts and 14 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.43. Gonzalez made three starts against the Phillies in 2017, compiling a 0-1 record with a 2.84 ERA and 14 strikeouts.

Washington’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.30 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.58 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 12 games against divisional opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.91 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.13.

The Washington offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .270/.339/.497 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that span.

Bryce Harper has helped lead the Nationals’ offense this year with 10 home runs, 25 RBIs and 27 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.89 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.05 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.16, along with a WHIP of 1.22.

The Phillies offense has slashed .235/.328/.374 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Philadelphia’s hitters have been paced by Rhys Hoskins. Hoskins is slashing .296/.444/.510 with four home runs, 20 RBIs and 17 runs scored.

The Phillies just got a 6-0 victory over the Marlins, while the Nationals are coming off of a 3-1 win against the Pirates.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in three of Washington’s last seven games.

The Phillies have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 15 over their last 10.

Philadelphia fielders have eight errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Washington over its last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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