The Colorado Rockies will face the New York Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will be televising this NL showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets Odds
Colorado (+110) is entering this game as the underdog against New York (-120) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Runline odds stand at -190 for taking the Rockies +1.5 runs and +165 for the Mets -1.5.
The Mets are 17-13 SU and 15-14 ATS. The team’s gained 4.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.1 units against the spread (ATS). The Rockies have gone 18-15 SU this year and are 17-15 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 3.4 units for moneyline bettors through the early part of the year and 2.1 units ATS.
New York games have a 15-13-1 over/under record so far in 2018. The Rockies have an over/under record of 13-17-2.
Right-hander Chad Bettis will get the nod for Colorado. Bettis is 3-1 with a 2.43 ERA and 25 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mets are handing the ball to lefty Steven Matz (1-2, 4.98 ERA), who has 26 strikeouts and 10 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.29 WHIP. Matz made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 0-1 record in 2017, posting a 0-1 record with a 15.00 ERA.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.53, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.8. The bullpen has a 3.88 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The New York hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .257/.314/.408 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Mets’ batters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier. Cabrera is slashing .330/.383/.591 with six home runs, 20 RBIs and 22 runs scored, and Frazier’s line sits at .262/.386/.456 with five homers, 20 RBIs and 18 runs.
Cabrera didn’t perform very well at home last year. Over 241 plate appearances, he slashed .245/.315/.366 (his overall season line was .280/.351/.434).
In the other dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.04 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.49 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.98, along with a WHIP of 1.28.
Rockies hitters have slashed .229/.306/.396 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Right fielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado have led Colorado’s offense. Blackmon is hitting .292/.395/.632 with 11 home runs, 20 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Arenado is hitting .324/.412/.608 with seven homers, 20 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
Maintaining a slash line of .261/.317/.387 across 120 such plate appearances, Blackmon did not do as well hitting against lefty pitching on the road in 2017 (compared to his total season slash line of .331/.399/.601).
The Rockies have lost 5.2 units and are 7-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in four of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Mets have netted 2.3 units and are 10-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, compared to eight that went under the total.
Colorado Rockies at New York Mets MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in three of New York’s last seven games.
The Mets have lost five of their last six games SU.
Colorado has posted 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.2 over its last five.
The Rockies have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
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