The San Diego Padres will play host to their division rival Los Angeles Dodgers at Estadio de Beisbol Monterrey. The matchup is going to be televised across the country on Fox Sports One and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Odds
Los Angeles (-210) is the favorite over San Diego (+190) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Runline odds sit at -145 for taking the Dodgers -1.5 runs and +125 for the Padres +1.5.
The Padres are 11-22 SU and 13-19 ATS. They’ve lost 6.7 units for moneyline bettors and 11.4 units against the spread (ATS). San Diego has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Dodgers have gone 15-17 SU this year and are 11-20 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 14.9 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 11.2 units ATS. Los Angeles is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.
Padres games have an over/under record of 15-15-2 so far in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 16-14-1.
Kenta Maeda will get the nod for Los Angeles. The right-handed Maeda is 2-2 with a 3.76 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 6.35 ERA against San Diego this year (four starts).
The Padres are putting the ball in the right hand of Bryan Mitchell (0-3, 6.07 ERA), who’s got 14 punchouts and 23 walks as well as a 1.89 WHIP. Mitchell is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Los Angeles this year.
As a unit, San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 5.39 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.44 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 24 games against divisional opponents, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.90 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.98.
The San Diego hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .209/.283/.307 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Padres’ hitters have been led by third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer. Villanueva is slashing .286/.369/.637 with nine home runs, 20 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Hosmer is hitting .292 with 33 hits, eight RBIs and 16 runs.
Hosmer enjoyed batting against righty pitching at home last year. Across 221 such plate appearances, he slashed .354/.439/.615 (compared to his total season line of .318/.385/.498).
In the visiting dugout, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.36 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.88 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.26, along with a WHIP of 1.15 and a K-per-9 of 10.17.
The Dodgers offense has slashed .243/.326/.396 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this year, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Backstop Yasmani Grandal and first baseman Cody Bellinger have led Los Angeles’ offense. Grandal is hitting .286/.383/.500 with four home runs, 21 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Bellinger (.286/.336/.479) is up to four homers, 16 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
The Dodgers have lost 11.4 units and are 7-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 6.3 units and are 8-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Dodgers have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
San Diego has averaged 19.6 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 16.4 over its last five.
The Padres have lost four of their last five games SU.
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