The Atlanta Braves will play host to the San Francisco Giants at SunTrust Park. FOX Sports South will be airing this NL matchup. The opening pitch will be at 1:35 p.m. ET.
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
San Francisco (+130) is hosting this one as the underdog to Atlanta (-140) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -170 for the Giants +1.5 runs and +150 for the Braves -1.5 runs.
The Braves are 19-13 SU and 20-11 ATS. They’ve gained 11.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.3 units against the spread (ATS). Atlanta has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Giants have gone 18-15 SU this year and are 21-11 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 5.5 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 9.1 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.
Atlanta games have had an over/under record of 15-13-3 so far in 2018. The Giants have an over/under record of 16-16.
Andrew Suarez is getting the nod for the Giants. The left-handed Suarez is 0-1 with a 4.38 ERA and 12 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Braves are putting the ball in the hands of Mike Soroka (1-0, 1.50 ERA), who’s got five strikeouts and zero walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.00. Soroka did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.
As a unit, Atlanta’s pitchers have yielded 4.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.64, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 3.92 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
The Atlanta hitters have put up 5.6 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .306/.349/.508 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have led the Braves’ batters so far. Markakis is hitting .354/.439/.567 with six home runs, 25 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Freeman is batting .309 with five homers, 25 RBIs and 24 runs.
Freeman didn’t do as well hitting against lefty pitching at home in 2017. Across 69 such plate appearances, he slashed .222/.275/.397 (compared to his total season line of .307/.403/.586).
For the visitors, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.92 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.19 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.54, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 8.00.
Giants hitters have slashed .253/.318/.397 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 6.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
First baseman Brandon Belt and catcher Buster Posey have led San Francisco’s hitters. Belt is slashing .300/.423/.560 with six home runs, 17 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Posey is hitting .307/.377/.436 with two homers, 14 RBIs and 14 runs scored.
The Giants have lost 1.6 units and are 8-6 ATS when facing a y starter this season. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 2.4 units and are 2-2 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under.
San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Giants have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 15 over their last 10.
San Francisco has posted 27.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 31.8 over its last five.
The Giants have won six of their last seven games SU.
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