The Los Angeles Dodgers will be squaring off against their division rival San Diego Padres at Estadio de Beisbol Monterrey. Fox Sports San Diego will televise the matchup and the game will get going at 4:10 p.m. ET.
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Odds
San Diego (+165) is coming into this one as the underdog to Los Angeles (-175) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Dodgers -1.5 runs (-120) and Padres +1.5 runs (+100).
The Dodgers have gone 15-18 SU this year and are 12-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.9 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 9.9 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 12-22 SU and 13-20 ATS. The team has lost 7.7 units for moneyline bettors and 12.8 units ATS. San Diego has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
San Diego games have an over/under record of 15-16-2 so far in 2018. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 16-15-1.
Southpaw Rich Hill is getting the nod for the visiting Dodgers. Hill is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 16 strikeouts. He has yet to face San Diego this year, but he made four starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 3-0 record with a 1.08 ERA and 35 strikeouts.
The Padres are turning to Eric Lauer (0-1, 10.13 ERA), who has 10 strikeouts and six walks as well as a WHIP of 2.38. Lauer did not pitch in the majors last season.
As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 5.48, a WHIP of 1.66 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 3.33 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 25 divisional games, Padres starters have an ERA of 6.01 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.87.
San Diego’s hitters have put up 3.9 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .206/.297/.355 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Padres’ batters have been led by third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer. Villanueva is hitting .277/.364/.617 with nine home runs, 20 RBIs and 17 runs scored, and Hosmer’s line sits at .293/.393/.509 with four homers, 10 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .318/.385/.498, Hosmer did not do as well hitting against lefties at home in 2017, hitting .224/.274/.357 across 106 plate appearances.
In the visiting dugout, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.42 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.96 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.45, along with a K-per-9 of 10.14.
The Dodgers offense has slashed .244/.328/.398 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Left fielder Matt Kemp and catcher Yasmani Grandal have led Los Angeles’ hitters. Kemp is hitting .330/.367/.549 with five home runs, 16 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Grandal is hitting .275/.375/.480 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 16 runs scored.
The Dodgers have lost 2.5 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a y starter this season. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 0.4 units and are 5-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in seven of those games, compared to six that went under the total.
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
San Diego has recorded 17.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 16.6 over its last five.
Both teams have hit eight home runs over their last 10 games.
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