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Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners Free Pick 05/06/18

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Angels will be squaring off against their division rival Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and the action will be shown on both RTNW and FSW.

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Los Angeles (-135) as the favorite over Seattle (+125). The total is sitting at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for even money (+100) or the under for -120. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at +110 for the Angels -1.5 runs and -130 for the Mariners +1.5.

Angels vs Mariners

The Angels are 20-13 SU and are 18-14 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 7.7 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 5.0 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 19-13 SU and 19-12 ATS. They’ve gained 6.1 units for moneyline bettors and 7.3 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Mariners games have a 19-12 over/under record so far in 2018. The Angels have an over/under record of 17-15.

Right-hander Shohei Ohtani is projected to start for the visiting Angels. Ohtani is 2-1 with a 4.43 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mariners are sending righty Felix Hernandez (4-2, 4.89 ERA) to the mound. Hernandez has 33 strikeouts and 16 walks to his name, as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Hernandez only made one start against the Angels in 2017 (0-0, 4.50 ERA and six strikeouts across six innings).

Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.40 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.24 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.73, along with a WHIP of 1.31.

The Angels offense has slashed .259/.324/.435 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game this year, including 6.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Right fielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons have led Los Angeles’ offense. Trout is slashing .322/.447/.694 with 11 home runs, 21 RBIs, 28 runs and five stolen bases, while Simmons (.357/.413/.530) has produced three homers, 21 RBIs and 22 runs scored.

For the home team, Seattle’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 5.21 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.00 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 10.3 K/9. In 15 games against divisional opponents, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.63 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.63.

Seattle’s hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .265/.332/.388 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Right fielder Mitch Haniger and second baseman Robinson Cano have led the Mariners’ hitters this year. Haniger is slashing .296/.376/.635 with 10 home runs, 27 RBIs and 18 runs scored, and Cano’s line is .293/.403/.440 with three homers, 18 RBIs and 20 runs.

Cano performed well against righty pitching at home last year, slashing .321/.393/.542 across 214 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .280/.338/.453).

The Angels have gained 7.5 units and are 15-10 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 3.7 units and are 12-10 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 16 of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under.

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

Los Angeles has posted 23.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 32.4 over its last five.

The Angels have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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