The Kansas City Royals will head east to take on the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. Fox Sports Kansas City will broadcast this AL matchup and the opening pitch will be at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
Kansas City (+140) is hosting this game as the underdog to Baltimore (-150) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -155 for the Royals +1.5 runs and +135 for the Orioles -1.5.
The Royals are only 11-23 SU and are 15-19 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.4 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 6.5 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 8-26 SU and 12-22 ATS. They’ve lost 17.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.8 units ATS. Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Orioles games have had an over/under record of 15-18-1 so far in 2018. Kansas City has been a decent under bet with a total record of 12-20-2.
Danny Duffy is getting the nod for the visiting Royals. The left-handed Duffy is 0-4 with a 5.63 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He has yet to face Baltimore this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 0-0 record with a 1.93 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
The Orioles will turn to righty Dylan Bundy (1-4, 3.76 ERA), who has 48 strikeouts and 11 walks to his credit as well as a 1.35 WHIP. Bundy made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-0 record in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record with a 1.29 ERA and 13 strikeouts.
As a unit, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 5.32 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.43 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Baltimore offense is putting up 3.4 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .214/.277/.301 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez have led the Orioles’ offense so far. Machado is hitting .346/.430/.623 with nine home runs, 27 RBIs and 17 runs scored, and Alvarez’s line is .205/.311/.500 with seven homers, 14 RBIs and 13 runs.
Machado enjoyed hitting against lefties at home last season, slashing .300/.345/.588 over 87 such plate appearances (his total season line was .260/.311/.473).
In the other dugout, Kansas City’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.61 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.37 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.83, along with a K/9 of 6.16.
Royals hitters have slashed .249/.319/.377 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Kansas City’s hitters have been led by right fielder Jorge Soler and third baseman Mike Moustakas. Soler is slashing .308/.425/.510 with four home runs, 12 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Moustakas is hitting .291/.326/.545 with eight homers, 23 RBIs and 21 runs scored.
Maintaining a slash line of .103/.235/.138 across 34 such plate appearances, Soler did not do as well hitting against righty pitching on the road last year (compared to his total season slash line of .144/.245/.258).
The Royals have lost 13.7 units and are 7-12 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 4.7 units and are 4-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in six of those games, compared to four which went under the total.
Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Royals have won three of their last four games SU while the Orioles have lost seven of their last eight SU.
The Kansas City defense has allowed zero errors over its last five games, compared to seven errors for Baltimore over its last five.
The Royals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
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