The Philadelphia Phillies will play host to the San Francisco Giants at Citizens Bank Park. NBC Sports Philadelphia will showcase this NL showdown and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (-185) is favored over San Francisco (+175) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Runline odds stand at -125 for taking the Giants +1.5 runs and +105 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Phillies are 19-15 SU and 13-20 ATS. They’ve gained 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 10.7 units against the spread (ATS). Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Giants are 19-16 SU and have gone 23-11 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 8.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 11.1 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Phillies games have a 16-14-3 over/under record so far in 2018. The Giants have an over/under record of 17-17.
Derek Holland will get the start for San Francisco. The left-handed Holland is 1-3 with a 5.70 ERA and 29 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Phillies are turning to righty Aaron Nola (4-1, 2.17 ERA), who has 35 punchouts and 11 walks to his name as well as a 0.92 WHIP. Nola only made one start against the Giants in 2017 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and three strikeouts across five innings).
Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 3.88 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.13, a WHIP of 1.28 and a K/9 of 9.2.
The Philadelphia offense has put up 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .264/.328/.489 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by outfielders Rhys Hoskins and Odubel Herrera. Hoskins is hitting .281/.428/.500 with five home runs, 23 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Herrera is batting .341 with five homers, 20 RBIs and 19 runs.
For the visitors, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.97 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.26 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.83, along with a K/9 of 7.80.
Giants hitters have slashed .252/.318/.391 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
First baseman Brandon Belt and catcher Buster Posey have led San Francisco’s offense. Belt is slashing .290/.417/.533 with six home runs, 17 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Posey is slashing .317/.385/.442 with two homers, 14 RBIs and 14 runs scored.
Posey seemed to have some trouble hitting right-handed pitchers on the road last year. Over 210 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .276/.357/.400 (his total season line was .320/.400/.462).
The Giants have gained 0.9 units and are 10-6 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 2.3 units and are 4-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to two that went under.
San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Giants have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
San Francisco fielders have 14 errors over the last 10 games, compared to four errors for Philadelphia over its last 10.
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