The San Diego Padres will play host to the Washington Nationals at PETCO Park. This NL matchup will begin at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network.
Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres Odds
San Diego (+120) is coming into this one as the underdog to Washington (-130) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Nationals -1.5 runs (+115) and Padres 1.5 runs (-135).
The Nationals are 19-17 SU and have gone 17-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.5 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 0.3 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 13-23 SU and 15-20 ATS. They’ve lost 4.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.6 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
San Diego games have an over/under record of 16-17-2 thus far in 2018. Nationals games have gone under 17 times, gone over 16 times and pushed on two instances.
Jeremy Hellickson is getting the nod for Washington. The right-handed Hellickson is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 13 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Padres will turn to lefty Clayton Richard (1-4, 6.21 ERA) to the mound. Richard has 32 strikeouts and 20 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.73. Richard only made one start against the Nationals in 2017 (0-1, 4.50 ERA and five strikeouts across six innings).
As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 5.36 ERA, 1.64 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.38 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
The San Diego hitters have produced 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .234/.326/.377 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Padres’ batters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Christian Villanueva. Hosmer is hitting .287/.392/.516 with five home runs, 12 RBIs and 18 runs scored, and Villanueva is batting .263 with nine homers, 20 RBIs and 17 runs.
Hosmer especially enjoyed hitting against right-handed pitching at home in 2017. In 221 such plate appearances, he slashed .354/.439/.615 (compared to his total season line of .318/.385/.498).
For the visiting squad, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.22 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.06 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.77, along with a K/9 of 9.79.
The Nationals offense has slashed .241/.339/.408 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Bryce Harper and Matt Adams have led Washington’s hitters. Harper is slashing .237/.420/.559 with 12 home runs, 28 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Adams (.307/.422/.747) has produced 10 homers, 23 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
Harper didn’t seem to enjoy hitting against lefty pitching last year. Over 129 plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .311/.357/.445 (his total season line was .317/.411/.596).
The Nationals have lost 7.3 units and are 5-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to seven that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 4.0 units and are 10-12 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in nine of those games, compared to 11 that went under the total.
Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Nationals have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit nine over their last 10.
San Diego has posted 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.2 over its last five.
The Nationals have won eight of their last nine games SU.
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