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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Matchup 05/10/18

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

The Boston Red Sox will square off against their divisional rival New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will be televising the action.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Odds

Oddsmakers are listing New York (-145) as the favorite over Boston (+135). Bettors are able to gamble on the game’s total with odds posted at -105 for over 9 runs and -115 for under 9. Bettors can also wager on the game’s run-line with the current odds sitting at Red Sox +1.5 runs (-160) and Yankees +-1.5 runs (+140).

The Yankees are 26-10 SU and 20-15 ATS. They’ve gained 9.8 units for bettors taking the money line and 4.3 units against the spread (ATS). New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, have gone 25-11 SU this year and are 17-18 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 9.8 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the year, but have lost 1.3 units ATS. Boston is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

New York games have a 20-14-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Boston has an over/under record of 18-16-1.

The left-handed Eduardo Rodriguez is the probable starter for Boston. Rodriguez is 3-0 with a 5.29 ERA and 39 strikeouts. He has yet to face New York this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 0-1 record with a 4.09 ERA and 11 strikeouts.

The Yankees are putting the ball in the hands of lefty CC Sabathia (2-0, 1.39 ERA), who has 23 strikeouts and five walks, as well as a 0.87 WHIP. Sabathia made four starts against the team in 2017, compiling a spotless 4-0 record in 2017, posting a perfect 4-0 record with a 1.04 ERA and 18 strikeouts.

Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.60 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.46 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.61, along with a WHIP of 1.16.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .270/.336/.461 on their way to 5.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Boston’s offense has been led by Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez, who’ve collectively belted 21 home runs. Betts is slashing .347/.428/.797 with 13 home runs, 27 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Martinez is hitting .351 with eight homers, 27 RBIs and 22 runs scored.

Betts performed well against lefty pitching last season. Over 148 plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .306/.412/.516 (compared to his total season line of .264/.344/.459).

In the home-team dugout, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.41 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.53 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 12.9 K/9. In 19 games against AL East opponents. Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.89.

The New York hitters have put up 5.8 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .248/.355/.465 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Aaron Judge and shortstop Didi Gregorius have paced the Yankees’ batters this year. Judge is slashing .308/.429/.579 with nine home runs, 27 RBIs and 29 runs scored. Gregorius has produced a line of .291/.382/.622 with 10 homers, 30 RBIs and 27 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .284/.422/.627, Judge seemed to have some trouble hitting left-handed pitchers last year, slashing .230/.439/.496 over 155 plate appearances.

The Red Sox have lost 1.6 units and are 2-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to five that have gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 4.8 units and are 6-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in five of those games. Opposed to six that’ve gone under.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – UNDER

Notes

Betting Notes

The Yankees have won 17 of their last 18 games SU.

The Boston defense has allowed 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to two errors for New York over its last 10.

The Red Sox have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. Including 10 over their last five.
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Written by GMS Previews

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