The ice-cold Miami Marlins will try to avoid losing their fifth in a row they play host to the Atlanta Braves at Marlins Park. The matchup will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and FOX Sports South will be televising the game.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Vegas has listed Miami (+125) as the underdog to Atlanta (-135). The total stands at eight runs and bettors can wager on the over for -130 and the under for +110. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at +110 for the Braves -1.5 runs and -130 for the Marlins +1.5.
The Marlins are 13-24 SU and 18-18 ATS. The team’s lost 1.7 units for moneyline bettors and 2.8 units against the spread (ATS). The Braves have gone 22-14 SU this year and are 22-13 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 10.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 9.3 units ATS.
Marlins games have had an over/under record of 17-19 so far in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 16-16-3.
Right-hander Brandon McCarthy is projected to start for Atlanta. McCarthy is 4-1 with a 4.84 ERA and 27 strikeouts. He has yet to face Miami this year, but he made two starts against the Marlins in 2017, compiling a 1-0 record against them with a 4.22 ERA and eight strikeouts.
The Marlins are sending righty Dan Straily (0-0, 6.75 ERA) to the mound. Straily has three strikeouts and eight walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 2.13. Straily made five starts against the Braves in 2017, posting a 2-1 record with a 4.32 ERA and 26 strikeouts.
As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have given up 5.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.85 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.48 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 10 games against divisional foes, Marlins starters have an ERA of 5.44 and the bullpen’s ERA is 7.02.
Miami’s hitters are putting up 3.4 runs per contest, including 2.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .211/.292/.331 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Justin Bour has helped lead the Marlins’ offense this year with seven home runs, 18 RBIs and 12 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.43 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.91 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.69, along with a WHIP of 1.30.
Braves hitters have slashed .271/.341/.442 on their way to 5.4 runs scored per game this year, including 5.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Atlanta’s offense has been led by Freddie Freeman, who is slashing .326/.424/.558 with six home runs, 28 RBIs and 25 runs scored.
The Braves are looking for another win following a 9-2 victory in the prior game of the series.
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in three of Miami’s last seven games.
The Braves have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.
Miami has posted 18.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.8 over its last five.
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