The Tampa Bay Rays are traveling north to face their division rival Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
Baltimore (-120) is the favorite against Tampa Bay (+110) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Rays +1.5 runs (-190) and Orioles +-1.5 runs (+165).
The Orioles are only 10-27 SU and 13-23 ATS. The team has lost 17.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.3 units against the spread (ATS). The Rays are 15-19 SU and have gone 18-16 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 4.3 units for moneyline bettors in this young season, but have gained 2.5 units ATS.
Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 16-19-1 so far in 2018. The Rays have an over/under record of 17-15-2.
The right-handed Jake Faria is the probable starter for the visiting Rays. Faria is 3-1 with a 4.15 ERA and 30 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and an 8.31 ERA against Baltimore this year (three starts).
The Orioles are turning to righty Kevin Gausman (2-2, 3.30 ERA), who has 36 strikeouts and 12 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.15. Gausman has yet to face the Rays this year, but he made three starts against them in 2017, posting a 2-1 record with a 0.45 ERA and 26 strikeouts.
Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.03 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.58 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.35, along with a K/9 of 8.84.
The Rays offense has slashed .259/.333/.394 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Tampa Bay’s hitters have been led by second baseman Daniel Robertson and catcher Wilson Ramos. Robertson is slashing .289/.433/.470 with 24 hits, eight RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Ramos (.313/.364/.485) has produced 31 hits, four homers, 18 RBIs and 10 runs scored.
For the home team, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.7 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have a 5.84 ERA, 1.61 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.32 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 12 divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 6.40 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.98.
The Baltimore hitters are putting up 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .263/.323/.447 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Orioles’ batters have been led by shortstop Manny Machado and left fielder Trey Mancini. Machado is hitting .350/.439/.629 with 10 home runs, 29 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Mancini’s line is .268/.331/.413 with four homers, 12 RBIs and 20 runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .260/.311/.473, Machado enjoyed hitting against right-handed pitching at home in 2017, slashing .286/.355/.534 over 265 such plate appearances.
The Rays have lost 4.5 units and are 9-12 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 12.6 units and are 8-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to 14 that’ve cashed the under.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in zero of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
Baltimore has recorded 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.6 over its last five.
The Rays have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 12 over their last 10.
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