The Milwaukee Brewers will be facing off against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. This NL showdown will begin at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin.
Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies Odds
Milwaukee (+120) is entering this game as the underdog against Colorado (-130) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 11.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Runline odds sit at -175 for taking the Brewers +1.5 runs and +155 for the Rockies -1.5.
The Brewers have gone 23-16 SU this year and are 21-17 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 7.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline through the early portions of the year and 3.2 units ATS. Milwaukee’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 21-18 SU and 21-17 ATS. They’ve gained 5.7 units for moneyline bettors and 4.8 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Rockies games have had an over/under record of 14-22-2 so far in 2018. The Brewers have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 13-23-2.
Chase Anderson is getting the nod for Milwaukee. The right-handed Anderson is 3-3 with a 3.97 ERA and 30 strikeouts. He has yet to face Colorado this year, but he made two starts against the Rockies in 2017, compiling a 1-0 record against them with a 1.64 ERA and eight strikeouts.
The Rockies are planning to start lefty Kyle Freeland (2-4, 3.95 ERA), who’s got 38 strikeouts and 13 walks, as well as a 1.17 WHIP. Freeland only made one start against the Brewers in 2017 (0-1, 3.18 ERA and seven strikeouts across 5.2 innings).
Colorado’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.13 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.93 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Colorado hitters have put up 4.1 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .260/.349/.444 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Rockies’ offense has been led by right fielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado. Blackmon is hitting .285/.388/.585 with 11 home runs, 21 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Arenado’s line is .309/.407/.577 with eight homers, 22 RBIs and 20 runs.
Blackmon particularly enjoyed hitting against righties at home last year. Across 234 such plate appearances, he slashed .381/.462/.787 (compared to his overall season line of .331/.399/.601).
For the visitors, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.28 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 6.67 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.61, along with a WHIP of 1.33.
Brewers hitters have slashed .242/.313/.389 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Lorenzo Cain and Jesus Aguilar have led Milwaukee’s hitters. Cain is slashing .293/.399/.474 with five home runs, 13 RBIs, 24 runs and eight stolen bases, while Aguilar (.348/.429/.522) is up to two homers, 11 RBIs and 13 runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .300/.363/.440, Cain enjoyed hitting against lefties on the road last year, maintaining a slash line of .318/.400/.621 across 75 such plate appearances.
The Brewers have gained 1.0 units and are 4-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to five that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 8.8 units and are 12-10 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, compared to 12 that went under the total.
Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Milwaukee has posted 23.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.8 over its last five.
The Brewers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 15 over their last 10.
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