The Philadelphia Phillies are making a road trip to Baltimore to face off against the Orioles at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to broadcast this interleague matchup and the game gets going at 12:05 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles Odds
The Phillies have gone 23-16 SU this year and are 18-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 5.0 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going, despite having lost 5.2 units ATS. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 13-28 SU and 17-24 ATS. The team’s lost 14.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.0 units ATS.
Orioles games have an over/under record of 20-20-1 so far in 2018. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 18-18-3.
Right-hander Nick Pivetta is the projected starter for the visiting Phillies. Pivetta is 2-2 with a 4.15 ERA and 42 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Orioles will turn to righty Andrew Cashner (1-4, 4.84 ERA), who’s got 40 strikeouts and 21 walks to his name as well as a 1.50 WHIP. Cashner only made one start against the Phillies in 2017 (1-0, 2.57 ERA and two strikeouts across seven innings).
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.53 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.52 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.35, along with a WHIP of 1.20.
The Phillies offense has slashed .242/.334/.400 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Outfielders Odubel Herrera and Rhys Hoskins have led Philadelphia’s hitters. Herrera is slashing .360/.430/.561 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Hoskins is hitting .268 with five homers, 25 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 5.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 5.46 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.
The Baltimore offense is putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 6.3 per game over its last 10 games and 9.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .309/.363/.646 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Orioles’ batters have been led by shortstop Manny Machado and outfielder Trey Mancini. Machado is slashing .350/.431/.669 with 13 home runs, 38 RBIs and 25 runs scored, and Mancini’s line sits at .275/.343/.444 with six homers, 16 RBIs and 25 runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .260/.311/.473, Machado performed well against right-handed pitchers at home last season, slashing .286/.355/.534 over 265 such plate appearances.
The Phillies have gained 2.2 units and are 12-16 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 10.4 units and are 11-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in only two of Baltimore’s last seven games.
The Phillies have won five of their last six games SU while the Orioles have won five of their last six SU.
Philadelphia has posted 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.8 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 21 over their last 10.
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