The Arizona Diamondbacks are ready to face off against the New York Mets at Citi Field. Fox Sports Arizona will televise this NL showdown and the game is slated to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Mets Odds
Arizona (-120) is coming into this one as the favorite over New York (+110) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Runline odds sit at +125 for taking the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs and -145 for the Mets +1.5.
The Mets are 21-19 SU and 17-22 ATS. They’ve lost 1.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.3 units against the spread (ATS). The Diamondbacks are 25-19 SU and have gone 21-22 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 8.8 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, but have lost 1.2 units ATS.
Mets games have an over/under record of 19-19-1 so far in 2018. Arizona has an over/under record of 19-22-2.
The left-handed Patrick Corbin is projected to start for the visiting Diamondbacks. Corbin is 4-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 75 strikeouts. He has yet to face New York this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record with a 3.21 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
The Mets will send lefty Steven Matz (1-3, 3.86 ERA) to the mound. Matz has 34 punchouts and 15 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.26. Matz did not record a start against the Diamondbacks in 2017.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 4.40 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.97 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
New York’s offense is putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .274/.333/.429 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Cabrera is hitting .312/.357/.526 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 24 runs scored, and Nimmo’s line is .254/.434/.460 with 16 hits, five RBIs and 14 runs.
Cabrera did not perform very well against lefties at home last season. In 59 such plate appearances, he slashed .268/.288/.286 (his total season line was .280/.351/.434).
For the visiting squad, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.81 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.47 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 2.39, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K/9 of 8.11.
Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .219/.299/.377 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 2.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
A.J. Pollock and Daniel Descalso have led Arizona’s offense. Pollock is slashing .293/.349/.620 with 11 home runs, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and nine steals, while Descalso is hitting .270/.367/.522 with five homers, 22 RBIs and 16 runs scored.
Putting up a slash line of .192/.253/.356 across 79 such plate appearances, Pollock did not do as well hitting against lefties on the road in 2017 (compared to his total season slash line of .268/.333/.475).
The Diamondbacks have gained 8.6 units and are 10-7 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 0.1 units and are 6-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in five of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in four of New York’s last seven games.
The Diamondbacks have lost eight of their last nine games SU.
Arizona has posted 15.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 13.0 over its last five.
The Diamondbacks have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 10 over their last 10.
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