The Miami Marlins will head north to face their divisional rival New York Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will broadcast the action and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins at New York Mets Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Miami (+145) as the dog to New York (-155). The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -115 and the under for -105. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Marlins +1.5 runs (-150) and Mets +-1.5 runs (+130).
The Mets are 23-19 SU and 19-22 ATS. They’ve gained 1.1 units for moneyline bettors while earning 2.9 units against the spread (ATS). New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, have gone 17-29 SU this year and are 23-22 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 0.5 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 3.0 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Mets games have a 20-20-1 over/under record so far in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 22-23.
Elieser Hernandez is getting the start for the visiting Marlins. Hernandez is 0-0 with a 2.25 ERA and three strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mets are handing the ball to lefty Jason Vargas (0-3, 13.86 ERA), who has nine punchouts and seven walks, as well as a 2.68 WHIP. Vargas did not record a start against the Marlins in 2017.
New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.38, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 3.80 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 19 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.65 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.79.
New York’s hitters have put up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .267/.328/.467 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and outfielder Brandon Nimmo have led the Mets’ offense this year. Cabrera is hitting .321/.368/.547 with seven home runs, 26 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Nimmo’s line is .268/.435/.465 with 19 hits, five RBIs and 15 runs.
Cabrera seemed to have some trouble hitting at home last season, slashing .245/.315/.366 across 241 plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .280/.351/.434).
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.63 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.71 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.86, along with a K-per-9 of 9.23.
The Marlins offense has slashed .230/.301/.345 on its way to 3.5 runs scored per game this season, including 3.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
First baseman Justin Bour and catcher J.T. Realmuto have led Miami’s offense. Bour is hitting .248/.401/.481 with nine home runs, 23 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Realmuto is slashing .311/.377/.563 with six homers, 13 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .278/.332/.451, Realmuto enjoyed batting in road games last season, putting up a slash line of .323/.369/.543 across 314 plate appearances.
The Marlins have lost 0.4 units and are 7-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under against y starters.
Miami Marlins at New York Mets Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Notes
The Marlins have lost three of their last four games SU.
Miami has recorded 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.8 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
xxxxx
