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San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Free Pick 05/25/18

Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants are making a road trip to Chicago to face the Cubs at Wrigley Field. The game gets going at 2:20 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be shown on either WLS or NSBA.

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

The Giants are 24-26 SU and are 29-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 1.6 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 5.5 units ATS. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 25-21 SU and 20-26 ATS. The team’s lost 6.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.8 units ATS.

Chicago games have a 20-25-1 over/under record thus far in 2018. The Giants have an over/under record of 26-22-2.

Derek Holland is getting the nod for the visiting Giants. The southpaw Holland is 2-5 with a 4.94 ERA and 42 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Cubs will turn to righty Kyle Hendricks (3-3, 3.40 ERA), who has 44 punchouts and 11 walks to his name as well as a 1.08 WHIP. Hendricks made two starts against the Giants in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record with a 2.31 ERA and 10 strikeouts.

San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.67 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 6.85 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.15, along with a WHIP of 1.38.

The Giants offense has slashed .259/.320/.408 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

First baseman Brandon Belt and shortstop Brandon Crawford have led San Francisco’s hitters. Belt is hitting .317/.416/.593 with 11 home runs, 29 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Crawford (.310/.346/.470) is up to five homers, 21 RBIs and 19 runs scored.

For the home team, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.76, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.81, a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 9.1.

Chicago’s hitters have produced 5.2 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .257/.361/.441 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Kris Bryant and second baseman Javier Baez have led the Cubs’ offense so far. Bryant is slashing .296/.418/.566 with eight home runs, 24 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Baez’s line is .267/.297/.563 with 11 homers, 38 RBIs, 28 runs and six stolen bases.

Baez enjoyed batting against left-handed pitching at home last season, slashing .358/.397/.679 over 58 such plate appearances (his total season line was .273/.317/.480).

The Giants have lost 5.5 units and are 15-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 0.4 units and are 5-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to six that went under the total.

San Francisco Giants at Chicago Cubs MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in just two of San Francisco’s last seven games.

Chicago has recorded 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.6 over its last five.

The Giants have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit eight over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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