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Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies Free Pick 05/25/18

Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds will head west to Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies. This NL matchup starts at 8:40 p.m. ET and you can watch it on either ATRM or FSOH.

Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies Odds

Colorado (-170) is the favorite over Cincinnati (+160) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 11 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Runline odds sit at -135 for betting the Reds +1.5 runs and +115 for the Rockies -1.5 runs.

The Reds are only 18-33 SU and are 27-23 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 2.5 units ATS. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 26-24 SU and 26-24 ATS. They’ve gained 3.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.9 units ATS.

Rockies games have an over/under record of 19-28-3 so far in 2018. Reds games have gone under 27 times, gone over 21 times and pushed on two occasions.

Right-hander Sal Romano is the probable starter for the visiting Reds. Romano is 2-5 with a 5.62 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rockies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 3.60 ERA and six strikeouts over five innings).

The Rockies are planning to start righty Jon Gray (4-6, 5.34 ERA), who has 63 strikeouts and 13 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.40. Gray only made one start against the Reds in 2017 (1-0, 3.18 ERA and five strikeouts across 5.2 innings).

Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.48 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 7.23 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.98, along with a K-per-9 of 8.72.

Reds hitters have slashed .239/.319/.375 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Cincinnati’s offensive production been powered by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is slashing .321/.360/.533 with nine home runs, 34 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Peraza has a .247 average with two homers, 11 RBIs, 27 runs and eight stolen bases.

In the home-team dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff has yielded 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.66 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

Colorado’s hitters have produced 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .220/.285/.280 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Third baseman Nolan Arenado and outfielder Charlie Blackmon have led the Rockies’ batters this year. Arenado is hitting .317/.407/.539 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Blackmon’s line is .263/.367/.509 with 12 homers, 23 RBIs and 37 runs.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .309/.373/.586, Arenado seemed to have a little trouble hitting right-handed pitchers in 2017, slashing .272/.341/.502 over 513 plate appearances.

The Reds have lost 8.8 units and are 20-16 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 4.7 units and are 14-16 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 16 that went under the total.

Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in three of Colorado’s last seven games.

The Rockies have lost four of their last five games SU.

Cincinnati has recorded 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.0 over its last five.

The Reds have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit nine over their last 10.

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