The Seattle Mariners are set to host the Minnesota Twins at Safeco Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will televise this AL matchup.
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners Odds
Vegas is listing Minnesota (+160) as the underdog to Seattle (-170). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +105 for over 7.5 runs and -125 for under 7.5. The game’s current runline odds stand at -135 for taking the Twins +1.5 runs and +115 for the Mariners -1.5 runs.
The Mariners are 29-20 SU and 27-21 ATS. They’ve gained 9.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.5 units against the spread (ATS). Seattle has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Twins are 21-24 SU and have gone 26-19 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 3.9 units for moneyline bettors through the early part of the season, but have gained 5.0 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Seattle games have an over/under record of 27-21 so far in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 22-22-1.
Fernando Romero will get the nod for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Romero is 2-0 with a 1.66 ERA and 22 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mariners will turn to lefty James Paxton (3-1, 3.30 ERA), who’s got 79 punchouts and 20 walks as well as a 1.02 WHIP. Paxton is 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.
As a unit, Seattle’s pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.39 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.69 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 10.3 K/9.
The Seattle offense has put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .228/.306/.353 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Mariners’ batters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon. Segura is slashing .317/.335/.449 with three home runs, 33 RBIs, 34 runs and 11 stolen bases, while Gordon is batting .304 with 56 hits, 13 RBIs, 25 runs and 16 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.09 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.00 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.59, along with a WHIP of 1.30.
Twins hitters have slashed .241/.317/.400 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Minnesota’s hitters have been led by outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar, who’ve collectively belted 16 home runs. Rosario is slashing .295/.319/.534 with nine home runs, 28 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Escobar (.278/.331/.512) is up to seven homers, 21 RBIs and 25 runs scored.
Rosario didn’t seem to enjoy hitting against lefties on the road last season. Across 91 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .267/.286/.372 (his overall season line was .290/.328/.507).
The Twins have gained 1.4 units and are 7-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 9.1 units and are 18-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve cashed the under.
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Twins have hit four home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit six over their last 10.
Seattle has recorded 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.6 over its last five.
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