The Cleveland Indians will square off against the Houston Astros at Progressive Field. The game gets underway 1:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will televise this AL showdown.
Houston Astros at Cleveland Indians Odds
Houston (-115) is favored over Cleveland (+105) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8 runs (-125 for the under and +105 for the over). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at +130 for the Astros -1.5 runs and -150 for the Indians +1.5.
The Astros are 34-19 SU and have gone 30-22 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 3.0 units for moneyline bettors and 6.3 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 25-25 SU and 20-29 ATS. The team has lost 11.8 units for moneyline bettors and 12.8 units ATS. Cleveland has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Cleveland games have an over/under record of 26-22-1 so far in 2018. Houston has been a decent under bet with a total record of 18-31-3.
The right-handed Gerrit Cole is the probable starter for the visiting Stros. Cole is 5-1 with a 1.86 ERA and 101 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Indians will send righty Trevor Bauer (4-3, 2.35 ERA) to the mound. Bauer has 73 punchouts and 23 walks to his name, as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Bauer made two starts against the Astros in 2017, compiling a spotless 2-0 record with a 5.40 ERA.
As a unit, Cleveland’s pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.39 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.14 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
Cleveland’s offense has produced 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .269/.346/.421 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Indians’ hitters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez. Lindor is slashing .292/.366/.545 with 12 home runs, 27 RBIs, 39 runs and five stolen bases, while Ramirez is batting .291 with 14 homers, 35 RBIs, 32 runs and seven stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 2.6 runs per game and its starters own a 2.44 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 10.44 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.63, along with a WHIP of 0.97 and a K/9 of 9.85.
Astros hitters have slashed .260/.336/.419 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 8.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Second baseman Jose Altuve and right fielder George Springer continue to lead Houston’s offense. Altuve is hitting .321/.369/.447 with three home runs, 26 RBIs, 30 runs and six stolen bases, while Springer is hitting .298/.359/.514 with 11 homers, 34 RBIs and 40 runs scored.
Putting up a slash line of .393/.460/.680 across 248 plate appearances, Altuve performed well against righty pitching on the road in 2017 (compared to his overall season line of .345/.409/.547).
The Astros have gained 5.4 units and are 21-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 21 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 12.4 units and are 11-19 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve cashed the under.
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Indians Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Astros have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 11 over their last 10.
Cleveland has recorded 21.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.0 over its last five.
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