The New York Mets will play the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. This NL matchup will begin at 2:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin.
New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
New York (+130) is entering this game as the underdog to Milwaukee (-140) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Mets +1.5 runs (-170) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+150).
The Brewers are 33-20 SU and 31-21 ATS. They’ve gained 14.2 units for moneyline bettors and 7.8 units against the spread (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Mets are 25-23 SU and have gone 22-25 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 0.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.3 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 19-31-2 thus far in 2018. Mets games have gone under 26 times, gone over 20 times and pushed on one occasion.
Zack Wheeler is getting the start for New York. The right-handed Wheeler is 2-4 with a 5.32 ERA and 47 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 2.84 ERA and six strikeouts over 6.1 innings).
The Brewers are sending righty Jhoulys Chacin (3-1, 3.32 ERA) to the mound. Chacin has 42 strikeouts and 27 walks to his name, as well as a 1.32 WHIP. Chacin is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA across one starts against New York this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 3.6 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.13, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.44, a WHIP of 1.12 and a K/9 of 10.2.
The Milwaukee offense has put up 4.2 runs per contest, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .280/.376/.440 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by right fielder Lorenzo Cain and third baseman Travis Shaw. Cain is hitting .291/.396/.453 with six home runs, 16 RBIs, 33 runs and 11 steals, and Shaw’s line is .259/.344/.546 with 13 homers, 35 RBIs and 32 runs scored.
For the visitors, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.13 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.82 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.01, along with a K/9 of 8.97.
Mets hitters have slashed .239/.318/.386 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 3.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led New York’s offense. Cabrera is hitting .314/.355/.519 with seven home runs, 29 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Rosario (.253/.280/.380) is up to three homers, 15 RBIs and 19 runs scored.
The Mets have gained 0.2 units and are 15-19 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 14.4 units and are 26-14 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 24 that went under the total.
New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Mets have lost four of their last five games SU while the Brewers have won five of their last six SU.
The New York defense has allowed eight errors over the last 10 games, compared to two errors for Milwaukee over its last 10.
The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 18 over their last 10.
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