In Game 1 of their NL East doubleheader, the New York Mets are set to take on the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. SportsNet New York will be airing the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET.
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Odds
Vegas is listing New York (-135) as the favorite over Atlanta (+125). The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 and the under for +100. The game’s current runline odds stand at +110 for taking the Mets -1.5 runs and -130 for the Braves +1.5.
The Mets are 25-24 SU and are 22-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 4.0 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 30-21 SU and 29-21 ATS. The team has gained 10.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.7 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Braves games have an over/under record of 23-24-3 so far in 2018. New York has an over/under record of 21-26-1.
Jacob deGrom will get the start for New York. The right-handed deGrom is 4-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 77 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 16 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Atlanta this year (three starts).
The Braves are putting the ball in the left hand of Max Fried (0-2, 6.00 ERA, 1.33 WHIP), who’s got seven strikeouts and three walks. Fried is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against New York this year.
As a unit, Atlanta’s pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 3.47 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.63 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 31 divisional games, Braves starters have an ERA of 2.99 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.77.
The Atlanta hitters have produced 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .257/.330/.389 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Braves’ offense has been led by outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is hitting .340/.409/.512 with seven home runs, 35 RBIs and 33 runs scored, and Freeman’s line is .325/.424/.541 with nine homers, 38 RBIs, 33 runs and five steals.
Markakis didn’t do as well batting against righty pitching at home last year. In 251 such plate appearances, he slashed .231/.295/.323 (his overall season line was .275/.354/.384).
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.18 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.81 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.17, along with a WHIP of 1.32.
Mets hitters have slashed .240/.319/.389 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and outfielder Jay Bruce have led New York’s offense. Cabrera is slashing .316/.356/.532 with eight home runs, 31 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Bruce is slashing .235/.307/.358 with three homers, 15 RBIs and 13 runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .280/.351/.434, Cabrera performed well against left-handed pitching on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .493/.545/.696 across 77 such plate appearances.
The Mets have lost 0.2 units and are 7-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 6.7 units and are 22-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, as opposed to 18 which went under the total.
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Mets have lost five of their last six games SU.
Atlanta has recorded 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.6 over its last five.
The Mets have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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